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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Netanyahu Warns of Escalating Tensions as Gaza Operations Wind Down

 

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu recently announced that the current phase of fighting against Hamas in Gaza is winding down. However, his statement comes with a caveat: the war against Hamas is not over, and Israel may soon shift its focus to another front—the northern border with Lebanon.

In a lengthy TV interview, Netanyahu explained that while the Israeli army is close to completing its current ground offensive in the southern Gaza city of Rafah, this does not signal the end of hostilities. Instead, he emphasized the need to free up forces to confront Hezbollah, the Lebanese militant group backed by Iran. Netanyahu’s decision to re-deploy troops to the northern border raises concerns about escalating tensions in the region.

Hezbollah, a formidable force compared to Hamas, has been engaging in near-daily exchanges of fire with Israel since Hamas’ cross-border attack in October. The recent escalation has heightened fears of a larger conflict involving other Iranian proxies and potentially Iran itself. Such a war could result in heavy damage and casualties on both sides of the border.

While Netanyahu expressed hope for a diplomatic solution, he also asserted that Israel is prepared to fight on multiple fronts. Any resolution would require Hezbollah to move far from the border, an effective enforcement mechanism, and the return of displaced Israelis to their homes. Tens of thousands of people remain evacuated since the conflict erupted.

As the situation remains tense, international efforts continue to find a peaceful resolution. However, Netanyahu’s warning underscores the delicate balance between winding down Gaza operations and the potential for a new conflict in Lebanon.

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