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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Ottawa Prepares for Possible Evacuations from Lebanon Amid Regional Tensions

 

Introduction: As tensions escalate in the Middle East, the Canadian government is closely monitoring the situation in Lebanon. With the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict and the potential involvement of Hezbollah, Ottawa is taking precautionary measures to ensure the safety of its citizens in the region.

The Situation:

Lebanon, a country with a significant Canadian expatriate community, has become a focal point due to its proximity to the conflict zone. The federal government estimates that there are at least 14,000 Canadians currently in Lebanon. While diplomatic efforts are underway to prevent further escalation, Ottawa is prepared for the unexpected.

Contingency Plans:

The Canadian Armed Forces have established a “task force” in Cyprus, ready to assist with evacuations if necessary. Coordinating with like-minded allies, they are strategically planning for potential evacuation operations in case the conflict intensifies. However, the government emphasizes that Canadians in Lebanon should consider leaving while commercial flights are still available.

Travel Advisory:

Last week, the government issued a travel advisory recommending that Canadians avoid all non-essential travel to Lebanon. Additionally, they are warning against travel to the southern region of the country. The situation remains fluid, and there is concern that limited commercial options may be available if conditions deteriorate.

Conclusion: As the situation unfolds, Ottawa remains vigilant and committed to ensuring the safety of its citizens. Canadians in Lebanon are advised to stay informed, follow official guidance, and consider leaving the country promptly if possible.



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