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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Ottawa Prepares for Possible Evacuations from Lebanon Amid Regional Tensions

 

Introduction: As tensions escalate in the Middle East, the Canadian government is closely monitoring the situation in Lebanon. With the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict and the potential involvement of Hezbollah, Ottawa is taking precautionary measures to ensure the safety of its citizens in the region.

The Situation:

Lebanon, a country with a significant Canadian expatriate community, has become a focal point due to its proximity to the conflict zone. The federal government estimates that there are at least 14,000 Canadians currently in Lebanon. While diplomatic efforts are underway to prevent further escalation, Ottawa is prepared for the unexpected.

Contingency Plans:

The Canadian Armed Forces have established a “task force” in Cyprus, ready to assist with evacuations if necessary. Coordinating with like-minded allies, they are strategically planning for potential evacuation operations in case the conflict intensifies. However, the government emphasizes that Canadians in Lebanon should consider leaving while commercial flights are still available.

Travel Advisory:

Last week, the government issued a travel advisory recommending that Canadians avoid all non-essential travel to Lebanon. Additionally, they are warning against travel to the southern region of the country. The situation remains fluid, and there is concern that limited commercial options may be available if conditions deteriorate.

Conclusion: As the situation unfolds, Ottawa remains vigilant and committed to ensuring the safety of its citizens. Canadians in Lebanon are advised to stay informed, follow official guidance, and consider leaving the country promptly if possible.



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