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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Ottawa Prepares for Possible Evacuations from Lebanon Amid Regional Tensions

 

Introduction: As tensions escalate in the Middle East, the Canadian government is closely monitoring the situation in Lebanon. With the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict and the potential involvement of Hezbollah, Ottawa is taking precautionary measures to ensure the safety of its citizens in the region.

The Situation:

Lebanon, a country with a significant Canadian expatriate community, has become a focal point due to its proximity to the conflict zone. The federal government estimates that there are at least 14,000 Canadians currently in Lebanon. While diplomatic efforts are underway to prevent further escalation, Ottawa is prepared for the unexpected.

Contingency Plans:

The Canadian Armed Forces have established a “task force” in Cyprus, ready to assist with evacuations if necessary. Coordinating with like-minded allies, they are strategically planning for potential evacuation operations in case the conflict intensifies. However, the government emphasizes that Canadians in Lebanon should consider leaving while commercial flights are still available.

Travel Advisory:

Last week, the government issued a travel advisory recommending that Canadians avoid all non-essential travel to Lebanon. Additionally, they are warning against travel to the southern region of the country. The situation remains fluid, and there is concern that limited commercial options may be available if conditions deteriorate.

Conclusion: As the situation unfolds, Ottawa remains vigilant and committed to ensuring the safety of its citizens. Canadians in Lebanon are advised to stay informed, follow official guidance, and consider leaving the country promptly if possible.



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