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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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The 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate: A Pivotal Moment

 

 The upcoming presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump is indeed a pivotal moment in the U.S. election. Here’s why:

  1. Unusual Timing: Unlike typical debates held in September or October, this one is scheduled three months earlier. Both candidates will face off at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday. This early debate provides a unique chance for voters to assess them for long, unimpeded stretches.

  2. Resetting the Trajectory: Joe Biden, trailing slightly in most surveys, aims to reset the race by proposing an early debate under specific rules to limit heckling and interruptions. If successful, it could shift the campaign dynamics.

  3. Historic Significance: Longtime Republican strategist Karl Rove called it “the most important 90 minutes of this election season.” While debates don’t typically swing elections, this one has the potential to solidify a candidate’s lead.

  4. Past Debates: The first-ever televised debates between John F. Kennedy and Richard Nixon in 1960 are often remembered because they did influence the outcome. Kennedy’s telegenic performance helped turn the tide in his favor.

In summary, while debates don’t always change the game, this early face-off could be a defining moment in the 2024 U.S. election. Get your popcorn ready—it’ll be a heck of a night! 

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