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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Toronto Transit Workers Face Friday Strike Deadline

 

Toronto transit workers are on the brink of a strike unless negotiations see significant changes on key contract issues. The looming deadline, set for Friday just past midnight, could trigger the first TTC strike since 2008.

Core Issues and Impasse

ATU Local 113 president Marvin Alfred stated that negotiations have reached an “impasse.” The union’s nearly 12,000 members are moving toward a strike unless core issues—such as wages, benefits, and job security—are addressed. The union seeks protections against outsourcing jobs to third parties and cross-boundary service transfers to other Greater Toronto Area transit operators.

Optimism and Challenges

TTC spokesperson Stuart Green remains optimistic that a deal can be worked out before the deadline. Negotiations are likely to go down to the wire, balancing the challenging work of union members with affordability for the City of Toronto. TTC chair Jamaal Myers echoes this optimism, emphasizing the need for contingency plans.

Impact on Commuters

A strike could disrupt travel plans for tens of thousands of commuters who rely on TTC subways, streetcars, and buses. While both sides continue bargaining, it’s essential for commuters to have a backup plan in place.



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