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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Canada Commits to Buying 12 New Submarines to Boost Defense Capabilities

 

In a significant move, the Canadian government has announced its intention to acquire 12 conventionally-powered submarines. The decision comes after mounting criticism of Canada’s defense spending by allies, particularly the United States. These new submarines, designed for under-ice operations, will replace the aging Victoria-class boats currently in service.

Key Points:

  • Massive Acquisition: The submarine program is estimated to be worth at least $60 billion Canadian dollars, attracting interest from shipbuilders worldwide.
  • Sovereignty and Security: With the longest coastline globally, Canada aims to protect its sovereignty and contribute to the security of its partners and NATO allies.
  • GDP Target: The investment in submarines will help Canada meet the 2 percent GDP target for defense spending.
  • Procurement Process: The Department of National Defence is engaging with manufacturers and potential partners, with a formal request for information expected in fall 2024.
  • Global Interest: Shipbuilders from Sweden, Germany, Spain, France, Japan, and South Korea are among those vying for the contract.

This strategic move underscores Canada’s commitment to enhancing its naval capabilities and ensuring maritime security in a changing world. The acquisition of these submarines represents a significant step forward for the Canadian Armed Forces and reinforces their role within NATO.

Note: The exact cost, delivery timeline, and specific shipbuilders are yet to be confirmed, but this announcement signals a decisive shift in Canada’s defense posture.


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