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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Canada Commits to Buying 12 New Submarines to Boost Defense Capabilities

 

In a significant move, the Canadian government has announced its intention to acquire 12 conventionally-powered submarines. The decision comes after mounting criticism of Canada’s defense spending by allies, particularly the United States. These new submarines, designed for under-ice operations, will replace the aging Victoria-class boats currently in service.

Key Points:

  • Massive Acquisition: The submarine program is estimated to be worth at least $60 billion Canadian dollars, attracting interest from shipbuilders worldwide.
  • Sovereignty and Security: With the longest coastline globally, Canada aims to protect its sovereignty and contribute to the security of its partners and NATO allies.
  • GDP Target: The investment in submarines will help Canada meet the 2 percent GDP target for defense spending.
  • Procurement Process: The Department of National Defence is engaging with manufacturers and potential partners, with a formal request for information expected in fall 2024.
  • Global Interest: Shipbuilders from Sweden, Germany, Spain, France, Japan, and South Korea are among those vying for the contract.

This strategic move underscores Canada’s commitment to enhancing its naval capabilities and ensuring maritime security in a changing world. The acquisition of these submarines represents a significant step forward for the Canadian Armed Forces and reinforces their role within NATO.

Note: The exact cost, delivery timeline, and specific shipbuilders are yet to be confirmed, but this announcement signals a decisive shift in Canada’s defense posture.


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