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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Canada Implements Digital Services Tax Amidst Controversy

Canada has officially enacted a digital services tax (DST), which imposes a three percent levy on revenue from Canadian users by foreign tech giants, retroactive to 2022. This move has sparked significant debate and concern among businesses and the United States government, with fears of potential trade repercussions.

Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland defended the decision, stating that it was unfair for Canada to indefinitely delay its own measures while waiting for a multilateral agreement on digital service taxes. She emphasized the need for tech companies to pay their fair share of taxes on revenue earned without a physical presence in Canada.

The DST is expected to affect companies with global annual income of at least $1.1 billion and Canadian revenues greater than $20 million a year. While the tax aims to level the playing field and support essential investments within the country, it has raised concerns about adding irritants to the trade relationship with the United States, especially during a sensitive time with upcoming presidential and congressional elections.

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