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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Canada Implements Digital Services Tax Amidst Controversy

Canada has officially enacted a digital services tax (DST), which imposes a three percent levy on revenue from Canadian users by foreign tech giants, retroactive to 2022. This move has sparked significant debate and concern among businesses and the United States government, with fears of potential trade repercussions.

Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland defended the decision, stating that it was unfair for Canada to indefinitely delay its own measures while waiting for a multilateral agreement on digital service taxes. She emphasized the need for tech companies to pay their fair share of taxes on revenue earned without a physical presence in Canada.

The DST is expected to affect companies with global annual income of at least $1.1 billion and Canadian revenues greater than $20 million a year. While the tax aims to level the playing field and support essential investments within the country, it has raised concerns about adding irritants to the trade relationship with the United States, especially during a sensitive time with upcoming presidential and congressional elections.

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