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Territorial Disputes Dominate Geneva Peace Talks

US President Donald Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner, US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, US Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll sit before closed-door talks with Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Andriy Yermak  (not pictured) on ending Russia's war in Ukraine, at the US Mission in Geneva, Switzerland. Negotiators from Russia and Ukraine convened in Geneva for a new round of U.S.-mediated peace talks, with territorial disputes emerging as the central point of contention. The discussions, held over two days, come amid heightened pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump, who has urged Kyiv to “come to the table fast” in pursuit of a settlement.  Both sides remain deeply divided over land claims, which have become the primary obstacle to progress. The Kremlin has signaled that territorial issues will dominate the agenda, while Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has voiced concerns that Kyiv is facing disproportionate p...

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Canada’s Unemployment Rate Rises, Fueling Speculation of July Rate Cut

 

Canada’s unemployment rate has climbed for the third time in four months, reaching 6.2%. While the country added 26,700 jobs in May, the rising jobless rate has prompted economists to consider the possibility of a rate cut by the Bank of Canada. Here are the key points:

  1. Job Market Trends:

    • Canada’s labor market saw modest growth, but the unemployment rate edged up by 0.1 percentage point.
    • The unemployment rate has risen by 1.1 percentage points since April last year.
    • The involuntary part-time rate increased, signaling potential weakness in the economy.
  2. Bank of Canada’s Stance:

    • Governor Tiff Macklem hinted at further rate cuts if inflation progress continues.
    • The central bank is “not close” to the limit of divergence from the Federal Reserve.
    • Markets have priced in about a 58% chance of another rate cut next month.
  3. Economic Outlook:

    • While there’s evidence supporting lower interest rates, the economy hasn’t plummeted.
    • Expect a gradual pace of interest rate reductions this year, with cuts likely at alternate meetings.

In summary, Canada’s rising unemployment rate has put pressure on the Bank of Canada to consider a rate cut in July. Economists are closely monitoring the situation, and the decision will have implications for the Canadian dollar and bond yields. Stay tuned for further updates as the economic landscape evolves.


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