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The Loonie Just Hit an 8-Week High — Here's What a Stronger Dollar Means for You

  August 11, 2026 Three weeks ago, we told you the Canadian dollar had crashed to a 14-month low . This week, it's doing the opposite: the loonie just touched its strongest level since June, and it's not a small bounce. If you shop online, travel south, or hold US stocks in your RRSP or TFSA, this move actually moves your numbers. What actually happened The Canadian dollar strengthened to about 1.393–1.394 per US dollar — roughly 71.7 to 71.8 US cents — its best level in eight weeks, according to Reuters and TradingEconomics data. That's a meaningful move: the loonie has gained close to 2% against the greenback since hitting 1.4248 on July 25, and it's up about 1.6% over the past month alone. THE TURNAROUND, IN THREE NUMBERS July 25 (14-month low) 1.4248 USD/CAD Today (8-week high) ~1.394 USD/CAD Move since July 25 Loonie up ~2.2% Two things are driving it. First, Friday's July jobs report blew past every forecast — the Canadian economy added 75,100 jobs against ...
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Canada’s Unemployment Rate Rises, Fueling Speculation of July Rate Cut

 

Canada’s unemployment rate has climbed for the third time in four months, reaching 6.2%. While the country added 26,700 jobs in May, the rising jobless rate has prompted economists to consider the possibility of a rate cut by the Bank of Canada. Here are the key points:

  1. Job Market Trends:

    • Canada’s labor market saw modest growth, but the unemployment rate edged up by 0.1 percentage point.
    • The unemployment rate has risen by 1.1 percentage points since April last year.
    • The involuntary part-time rate increased, signaling potential weakness in the economy.

  2. Bank of Canada’s Stance:

    • Governor Tiff Macklem hinted at further rate cuts if inflation progress continues.
    • The central bank is “not close” to the limit of divergence from the Federal Reserve.
    • Markets have priced in about a 58% chance of another rate cut next month.

  3. Economic Outlook:

    • While there’s evidence supporting lower interest rates, the economy hasn’t plummeted.
    • Expect a gradual pace of interest rate reductions this year, with cuts likely at alternate meetings.

In summary, Canada’s rising unemployment rate has put pressure on the Bank of Canada to consider a rate cut in July. Economists are closely monitoring the situation, and the decision will have implications for the Canadian dollar and bond yields. Stay tuned for further updates as the economic landscape evolves.


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