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Canadians Are Feeling Less Squeezed — But Fraud Is Rewriting How We Manage Credit

  New data from TransUnion's Q2 2026 Canada Consumer Pulse Study, released July 22, 2026 There's a small but real shift happening in Canadian households right now. After years of headlines about affordability and inflation, a new survey suggests things are slightly less bleak — but Canadians aren't relaxing. They're getting more careful, and increasingly, more worried about fraud than about their credit score. TransUnion's newest Consumer Pulse Study, out today, paints a picture of a country cautiously exhaling — while quietly tightening the locks on its financial front door. The Good News: A Little More Breathing Room For the first time in a while, the numbers aren't all doom. Roughly a quarter of Canadians surveyed said their household income rose over the past three months, and nearly one in four say their finances are running better than they expected this year — the best reading TransUnion has recorded in the past 12 months. Optimism is edging up too: 45% ...
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Canada’s Unemployment Rate Rises, Fueling Speculation of July Rate Cut

 

Canada’s unemployment rate has climbed for the third time in four months, reaching 6.2%. While the country added 26,700 jobs in May, the rising jobless rate has prompted economists to consider the possibility of a rate cut by the Bank of Canada. Here are the key points:

  1. Job Market Trends:

    • Canada’s labor market saw modest growth, but the unemployment rate edged up by 0.1 percentage point.
    • The unemployment rate has risen by 1.1 percentage points since April last year.
    • The involuntary part-time rate increased, signaling potential weakness in the economy.

  2. Bank of Canada’s Stance:

    • Governor Tiff Macklem hinted at further rate cuts if inflation progress continues.
    • The central bank is “not close” to the limit of divergence from the Federal Reserve.
    • Markets have priced in about a 58% chance of another rate cut next month.

  3. Economic Outlook:

    • While there’s evidence supporting lower interest rates, the economy hasn’t plummeted.
    • Expect a gradual pace of interest rate reductions this year, with cuts likely at alternate meetings.

In summary, Canada’s rising unemployment rate has put pressure on the Bank of Canada to consider a rate cut in July. Economists are closely monitoring the situation, and the decision will have implications for the Canadian dollar and bond yields. Stay tuned for further updates as the economic landscape evolves.


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