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5 Things to Know Today: G7 Oil Release, Pipeline Fast-Track and Ontario's N1 Deadline (Oct. 3)

  Canadian Money Brief • Saturday, October 3, 2026 Markets are closed for the weekend, so here is what moved on Friday and what it means for your wallet as the week turns. Five things worth knowing today. 1. The G7 Is Releasing 100 Million Barrels of Oil and Fuel G7 leaders, Canada included, agreed Friday to release 100 million barrels of crude and refined products from emergency reserves over the next four months, with a front-loaded diesel release in the first 20 days. Washington had been pressing allies to act as fuel prices climbed. Oil barely budged on the news: Brent settled at US$102.25 a barrel and WTI at US$91.11, down US$1.76. Analysts noted it is not yet clear whether the 100 million barrels is new supply or the tail end of the release pledged in March. What it means for you: Diesel comes first, which matters more for freight and grocery costs than for your gas tank. With Brent still around US$100, do not count on a quick drop at the pump. 2. A Weak U.S. Jobs Report Shi...
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Canada’s Unemployment Rate Rises, Fueling Speculation of July Rate Cut

 

Canada’s unemployment rate has climbed for the third time in four months, reaching 6.2%. While the country added 26,700 jobs in May, the rising jobless rate has prompted economists to consider the possibility of a rate cut by the Bank of Canada. Here are the key points:

  1. Job Market Trends:

    • Canada’s labor market saw modest growth, but the unemployment rate edged up by 0.1 percentage point.
    • The unemployment rate has risen by 1.1 percentage points since April last year.
    • The involuntary part-time rate increased, signaling potential weakness in the economy.

  2. Bank of Canada’s Stance:

    • Governor Tiff Macklem hinted at further rate cuts if inflation progress continues.
    • The central bank is “not close” to the limit of divergence from the Federal Reserve.
    • Markets have priced in about a 58% chance of another rate cut next month.

  3. Economic Outlook:

    • While there’s evidence supporting lower interest rates, the economy hasn’t plummeted.
    • Expect a gradual pace of interest rate reductions this year, with cuts likely at alternate meetings.

In summary, Canada’s rising unemployment rate has put pressure on the Bank of Canada to consider a rate cut in July. Economists are closely monitoring the situation, and the decision will have implications for the Canadian dollar and bond yields. Stay tuned for further updates as the economic landscape evolves.


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