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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Escalating Tensions: Strikes on Militant Leaders Threaten Middle East Stability

 

In a dramatic escalation, the recent targeted strikes on two senior militant leaders have heightened tensions in the already volatile Middle East. The assassination of Hamas’ top leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran and the strike against senior Hezbollah commander Fouad Shukur in Beirut have sent shockwaves through the region.

These strikes, attributed to Israel, come at a critical juncture as international mediators strive to broker a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas to end the ongoing conflict in Gaza. The killing of Haniyeh, a key figure in the cease-fire negotiations, has cast a shadow over these efforts. A senior Egyptian official involved in the talks described the assassination as a “reckless act” that could derail the fragile peace process.

Iran’s response to the attack on its territory has further complicated the situation, with threats of retaliation that could potentially lead to a broader conflict. The international community, including the U.S., Egypt, and Qatar, has condemned the strikes and urged for restraint to prevent further escalation.

The impact of these events on the ground is palpable. In Gaza, there is a growing sense of despair as hopes for a cease-fire wane. “By assassinating Haniyeh, they are destroying everything,” said Nour Abu Salam, a displaced Palestinian.

As the region teeters on the brink, the need for diplomatic intervention and a renewed commitment to peace has never been more urgent. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether the Middle East can avoid descending into further chaos.


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