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Tech Jitters and Fed Uncertainty Weigh on Markets

U.S. stocks slipped as a pivotal week began, with investors bracing for a wave of Big Tech earnings and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all edged lower, reflecting a cautious mood across markets. The pullback follows a choppy stretch for equities, as major indexes have struggled to regain momentum amid shifting expectations for interest‑rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical concerns. Tech stocks, in particular, have been under pressure after consecutive weekly declines, raising the stakes for earnings reports from industry giants. Apple, Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla are all set to report in the coming days, and their results could determine whether the sector reclaims leadership or continues to drag on broader market performance. With the Fed meeting approaching, traders are looking for clarity on the central bank’s rate‑cut timeline. Until then, many appear content to stay on the sidelines as uncertainty hangs over the week ahead.
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Inflation Falls in June for First Time Since 2020

A closely-watched report on US inflation revealed that consumer price increases cooled further during the month of June. According to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined by 0.1% over the previous month and increased just 3.0% over the prior year in June. This marks a deceleration from May’s flat month-over-month increase and the 3.3% annual gain in prices. Notably, it’s the first time since May 2020 that monthly headline CPI came in below 0%.

On a “core” basis, which excludes the more volatile costs of food and gas, prices in June climbed 0.1% over the prior month and 3.3% over last year—cooler than May’s data. Economists had expected a 0.2% monthly uptick in core prices and a 3.4% year-over-year increase.

The markets responded to this report, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling about 9 basis points to trade around 4.2%. While inflation has remained stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target on an annual basis, recent economic data suggests that the central bank may consider cutting rates sooner than later. Markets are now pricing in a roughly 87% chance that the Federal Reserve will begin rate cuts at its September meeting.

This data adds to other rate cut signals across the labor market and economy. The labor market added 206,000 nonfarm payroll jobs last month, ahead of economists’ expectations. However, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.1%, the highest reading in almost three years.

Notably, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—the core PCE price index—showed inflation easing in May, with a year-over-year change of 2.6%, in line with estimates and the slowest annual gain in more than three years.


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