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Airlines Slash Flights as Jet Fuel Costs Surge, Squeezing Travellers and Markets

  Airlines Slash Flights as Jet Fuel Costs Surge Canadian travellers are facing fewer flight options and higher fares as jet fuel prices spike to multi‑year highs , forcing Air Canada and Air Transat to cut capacity across key routes. The surge in fuel costs is tied directly to the ongoing Iran conflict , which has disrupted global oil flows and pushed energy markets into another period of volatility. Air Transat is reducing service to Europe and the Caribbean, while Air Canada is suspending several regional and international routes it now considers unprofitable. For consumers, this means higher ticket prices, more crowded flights, and fewer choices heading into the summer travel season . Impact on the Economy and Inflation Airlines passing fuel costs to passengers adds fresh pressure to Canada’s already‑stubborn inflation outlook. Travel inflation — which had been easing — is now expected to rise again, complicating the Bank of Canada’s path toward rate cuts. Higher travel costs a...
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Inflation Falls in June for First Time Since 2020

A closely-watched report on US inflation revealed that consumer price increases cooled further during the month of June. According to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined by 0.1% over the previous month and increased just 3.0% over the prior year in June. This marks a deceleration from May’s flat month-over-month increase and the 3.3% annual gain in prices. Notably, it’s the first time since May 2020 that monthly headline CPI came in below 0%.

On a “core” basis, which excludes the more volatile costs of food and gas, prices in June climbed 0.1% over the prior month and 3.3% over last year—cooler than May’s data. Economists had expected a 0.2% monthly uptick in core prices and a 3.4% year-over-year increase.

The markets responded to this report, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling about 9 basis points to trade around 4.2%. While inflation has remained stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target on an annual basis, recent economic data suggests that the central bank may consider cutting rates sooner than later. Markets are now pricing in a roughly 87% chance that the Federal Reserve will begin rate cuts at its September meeting.

This data adds to other rate cut signals across the labor market and economy. The labor market added 206,000 nonfarm payroll jobs last month, ahead of economists’ expectations. However, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.1%, the highest reading in almost three years.

Notably, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—the core PCE price index—showed inflation easing in May, with a year-over-year change of 2.6%, in line with estimates and the slowest annual gain in more than three years.


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