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New Energy Partnership to Be Announced in Calgary

  Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, seen here together last month, have been discussing a potential agreement focused on the energy sector for months.  Former Bank of England governor Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith are expected to unveil a major energy deal in Calgary this Thursday, according to a source familiar with the matter. The agreement is anticipated to focus on advancing clean energy initiatives while balancing Alberta’s traditional oil and gas strengths. Carney, who has been a vocal advocate for sustainable finance and climate-conscious investment, is set to join Smith in highlighting how the deal could position Alberta as a leader in energy transition. While details remain under wraps, the announcement is expected to emphasize collaboration between government and industry, aiming to attract investment, create jobs, and strengthen Canada’s role in global energy markets. The Calgary event underscores the growing importa...
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Inflation Falls in June for First Time Since 2020

A closely-watched report on US inflation revealed that consumer price increases cooled further during the month of June. According to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined by 0.1% over the previous month and increased just 3.0% over the prior year in June. This marks a deceleration from May’s flat month-over-month increase and the 3.3% annual gain in prices. Notably, it’s the first time since May 2020 that monthly headline CPI came in below 0%.

On a “core” basis, which excludes the more volatile costs of food and gas, prices in June climbed 0.1% over the prior month and 3.3% over last year—cooler than May’s data. Economists had expected a 0.2% monthly uptick in core prices and a 3.4% year-over-year increase.

The markets responded to this report, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling about 9 basis points to trade around 4.2%. While inflation has remained stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target on an annual basis, recent economic data suggests that the central bank may consider cutting rates sooner than later. Markets are now pricing in a roughly 87% chance that the Federal Reserve will begin rate cuts at its September meeting.

This data adds to other rate cut signals across the labor market and economy. The labor market added 206,000 nonfarm payroll jobs last month, ahead of economists’ expectations. However, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.1%, the highest reading in almost three years.

Notably, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—the core PCE price index—showed inflation easing in May, with a year-over-year change of 2.6%, in line with estimates and the slowest annual gain in more than three years.


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