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Scorch and Surge: Ontario Faces Sweltering Heat and Successive Storm Threats

Ontario is bracing for a stretch of intense weather as Environment Canada issues heat warnings across multiple regions, paired with a forecast of multi-day storm risks. Temperatures are expected to soar past 30°C, with humidex values pushing conditions into the high 30s and low 40s. The sweltering heat poses increased risks to vulnerable populations, including seniors, young children, and those with pre-existing health conditions. Meteorologists warn that the heat won’t come alone. A line of unstable air sweeping across southern and central Ontario is expected to fuel daily thunderstorms through the weekend and into next week. These storms could bring heavy downpours, damaging winds, and isolated hail, further complicating the forecast. Officials are urging residents to take precautions: stay hydrated, limit outdoor activity during peak hours, and check in on neighbours who may be at risk. Pet owners are also reminded to avoid walking animals during the hottest parts of the day. The co...
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Inflation Falls in June for First Time Since 2020

A closely-watched report on US inflation revealed that consumer price increases cooled further during the month of June. According to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined by 0.1% over the previous month and increased just 3.0% over the prior year in June. This marks a deceleration from May’s flat month-over-month increase and the 3.3% annual gain in prices. Notably, it’s the first time since May 2020 that monthly headline CPI came in below 0%.

On a “core” basis, which excludes the more volatile costs of food and gas, prices in June climbed 0.1% over the prior month and 3.3% over last year—cooler than May’s data. Economists had expected a 0.2% monthly uptick in core prices and a 3.4% year-over-year increase.

The markets responded to this report, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling about 9 basis points to trade around 4.2%. While inflation has remained stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target on an annual basis, recent economic data suggests that the central bank may consider cutting rates sooner than later. Markets are now pricing in a roughly 87% chance that the Federal Reserve will begin rate cuts at its September meeting.

This data adds to other rate cut signals across the labor market and economy. The labor market added 206,000 nonfarm payroll jobs last month, ahead of economists’ expectations. However, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.1%, the highest reading in almost three years.

Notably, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—the core PCE price index—showed inflation easing in May, with a year-over-year change of 2.6%, in line with estimates and the slowest annual gain in more than three years.


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