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Alberta Voters Reject Push for Separation Referendum

  Alberta voters have delivered a clear message: the province should  remain part of Canada. Early results from Monday’s referendum show about 76% supported remaining in Canada, while roughly 23% backed starting a legal process that could lead to a future vote on separation. The vote was not a direct decision on whether Alberta should become an independent country. Instead, voters were asked whether Alberta should remain a Canadian province or begin the constitutional process required to hold a binding referendum on separation. What the Results Mean The result is a setback for Alberta’s separatist movement and a boost for supporters of Canadian unity, including Prime Minister Mark Carney. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith had called the referendum amid pressure from separatist advocates, although she has said she supports Alberta remaining in Canada. The result is still unofficial. Elections Alberta is continuing its verification process, with the official announcement scheduled...
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Inflation Falls in June for First Time Since 2020

A closely-watched report on US inflation revealed that consumer price increases cooled further during the month of June. According to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined by 0.1% over the previous month and increased just 3.0% over the prior year in June. This marks a deceleration from May’s flat month-over-month increase and the 3.3% annual gain in prices. Notably, it’s the first time since May 2020 that monthly headline CPI came in below 0%.

On a “core” basis, which excludes the more volatile costs of food and gas, prices in June climbed 0.1% over the prior month and 3.3% over last year—cooler than May’s data. Economists had expected a 0.2% monthly uptick in core prices and a 3.4% year-over-year increase.

The markets responded to this report, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling about 9 basis points to trade around 4.2%. While inflation has remained stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target on an annual basis, recent economic data suggests that the central bank may consider cutting rates sooner than later. Markets are now pricing in a roughly 87% chance that the Federal Reserve will begin rate cuts at its September meeting.

This data adds to other rate cut signals across the labor market and economy. The labor market added 206,000 nonfarm payroll jobs last month, ahead of economists’ expectations. However, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.1%, the highest reading in almost three years.

Notably, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—the core PCE price index—showed inflation easing in May, with a year-over-year change of 2.6%, in line with estimates and the slowest annual gain in more than three years.


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