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New Tensions Rise as Iran Warns of Possible Strikes on Regional Energy Sites

  Iran has issued a sharp warning that it may target regional energy infrastructure following recent threats from U.S. President Donald Trump over the Strait of Hormuz. The exchange marks a renewed escalation in a long‑running standoff over one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints. According to Iranian officials, any attempt to restrict Tehran’s access to the strait would be met with what they described as “direct and proportional” action. Energy facilities across the Gulf—central to global oil and gas supply—were specifically mentioned as potential targets if tensions continue to rise. The Trump administration has repeatedly criticized Iran’s activities in the region, warning of consequences should Tehran interfere with international shipping. The latest remarks from Washington prompted Iran’s response, which framed its position as defensive and tied to national sovereignty. Regional governments have expressed concern that even rhetorical escalation could unsettle...
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Inflation Falls in June for First Time Since 2020

A closely-watched report on US inflation revealed that consumer price increases cooled further during the month of June. According to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined by 0.1% over the previous month and increased just 3.0% over the prior year in June. This marks a deceleration from May’s flat month-over-month increase and the 3.3% annual gain in prices. Notably, it’s the first time since May 2020 that monthly headline CPI came in below 0%.

On a “core” basis, which excludes the more volatile costs of food and gas, prices in June climbed 0.1% over the prior month and 3.3% over last year—cooler than May’s data. Economists had expected a 0.2% monthly uptick in core prices and a 3.4% year-over-year increase.

The markets responded to this report, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling about 9 basis points to trade around 4.2%. While inflation has remained stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target on an annual basis, recent economic data suggests that the central bank may consider cutting rates sooner than later. Markets are now pricing in a roughly 87% chance that the Federal Reserve will begin rate cuts at its September meeting.

This data adds to other rate cut signals across the labor market and economy. The labor market added 206,000 nonfarm payroll jobs last month, ahead of economists’ expectations. However, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.1%, the highest reading in almost three years.

Notably, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—the core PCE price index—showed inflation easing in May, with a year-over-year change of 2.6%, in line with estimates and the slowest annual gain in more than three years.


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