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Greens Stun Labour in Historic Gorton & Denton Upset

  The Green Party's Hannah Spencer joyous after the results of the Gorton and Denton by-election were announced Prime Minister Keir Starmer has been dealt a significant political setback after the Green Party captured Gorton and Denton, a Greater Manchester seat Labour had held for nearly a century. The by‑election result pushed Labour into third place, behind both the Greens and Reform UK, highlighting growing fractures in Britain’s traditional two‑party landscape. Green candidate Hannah Spencer secured the victory with a commanding share of the vote, marking the party’s first parliamentary by‑election win in northern England. Reform UK finished second, while Labour’s unusually weak performance intensified pressure on Starmer amid ongoing political turbulence and calls for stronger leadership.  The loss of such a long‑standing Labour stronghold underscores shifting voter sentiment and raises questions about the party’s ability to maintain its traditional base. Analysts have...
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Inflation Falls in June for First Time Since 2020

A closely-watched report on US inflation revealed that consumer price increases cooled further during the month of June. According to the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined by 0.1% over the previous month and increased just 3.0% over the prior year in June. This marks a deceleration from May’s flat month-over-month increase and the 3.3% annual gain in prices. Notably, it’s the first time since May 2020 that monthly headline CPI came in below 0%.

On a “core” basis, which excludes the more volatile costs of food and gas, prices in June climbed 0.1% over the prior month and 3.3% over last year—cooler than May’s data. Economists had expected a 0.2% monthly uptick in core prices and a 3.4% year-over-year increase.

The markets responded to this report, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling about 9 basis points to trade around 4.2%. While inflation has remained stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target on an annual basis, recent economic data suggests that the central bank may consider cutting rates sooner than later. Markets are now pricing in a roughly 87% chance that the Federal Reserve will begin rate cuts at its September meeting.

This data adds to other rate cut signals across the labor market and economy. The labor market added 206,000 nonfarm payroll jobs last month, ahead of economists’ expectations. However, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.1%, the highest reading in almost three years.

Notably, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—the core PCE price index—showed inflation easing in May, with a year-over-year change of 2.6%, in line with estimates and the slowest annual gain in more than three years.


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