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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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LCBO Strike Continues Amidst Dispute Over Return-to-Work Protocol

 

A tentative agreement to end the two-week-long strike at the Liquor Control Board of Ontario (LCBO) has been thrown into question, with both sides accusing each other of bad faith bargaining. The Ontario Public Service Employees Union (OPSEU), representing 10,000 LCBO workers, announced that the strike would continue because the employer refused to sign a return-to-work protocol.

Despite initial optimism, the LCBO has stated that OPSEU introduced significant new monetary demands after the tentative deal was reached, which they argue should have been addressed during negotiations. The LCBO plans to file an unfair labour practice complaint against OPSEU.

The strike, which began on July 5, has been largely driven by concerns over Premier Doug Ford’s plan to allow convenience and grocery stores to sell ready-to-drink cocktails, a move that OPSEU claims threatens their jobs. The LCBO, however, maintains that this issue is not relevant to the bargaining table.

Negotiations had resumed earlier this week, with the LCBO offering wage increases, improved benefits for part-time workers, and the conversion of casual workers to permanent full-time positions. However, the failure to finalize the return-to-work protocol has left the strike ongoing, with no clear resolution in sight.


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