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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Major IT Outage Disrupts Key Services Across Canada


A significant IT outage has caused widespread disruptions across Canada, affecting airports, banks, border crossings, and hospitals. The issue originated from a faulty update deployed by cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike, impacting computers running Microsoft Windows.

Airports: The outage led to numerous flight cancellations and delays, particularly affecting U.S.-based carriers like United Airlines and American Airlines. Porter Airlines, operating within Canada and to some U.S. locations, also experienced significant disruptions.

Banks: TD Bank and other financial institutions faced operational challenges, causing inconvenience to customers and delays in transactions.

Border Crossings: The Canada Border Services Agency (CBSA) reported partial outages in its telephone reporting system, primarily affecting small aircraft passengers and boaters. Long delays were noted at major border crossings, including the Ambassador Bridge and the Detroit-Windsor tunnel.

Hospitals: Health care networks in British Columbia and other regions experienced disruptions, affecting their computer systems and networks.

CrowdStrike has acknowledged the issue, stating that it was not a security incident or cyberattack. Efforts are underway to restore normal operations, but the impacts are expected to linger for several days.


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