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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Remnants of Hurricane Beryl to Drench GTA with Heavy Rainfall

                                 

The remnants of Hurricane Beryl are set to bring heavy rainfall to the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) today. According to Environment Canada, periods of torrential downpours are possible, and the federal weather agency has issued a rainfall warning for much of southern Ontario, including Toronto.

Rain began overnight, and up to 60 millimeters of rain are expected for much of Toronto and surrounding areas throughout the day, although some areas could see even more. Meteorologist Daniel Liota warns that the morning commute could be treacherous due to heavy downpours, which can cause flash floods and water pooling on roads. Localized flooding in low-lying areas is also possible.

The Toronto and Region Conservation Authority (TRCA) has issued a flood watch, urging the public to stay away from streams, rivers, and shoreline areas. Recreational activities in or around water should be avoided at this time due to rapidly changing conditions.

Hurricane Beryl initially made landfall in Grenada before moving deeper into the Caribbean Sea, affecting Jamaica and eventually Mexico. As it moved over Texas, it weakened to a tropical storm, causing tornadoes and flooding. The unique aspect of this event is the tropical, moisture-laden air mass associated with the remnants of Hurricane Beryl, which contributes to the potential for torrential downpours in the GTA.

The heavy rainfall is expected to taper into scattered showers later tonight and into Thursday, according to Environment Canada’s forecast.




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