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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Rising Middle East Tensions: Key Leaders Assassinated


n a dramatic escalation of Middle East tensions, the leaders of two prominent Iranian-backed groups, Hamas and Hezbollah, were killed in separate attacks within 24 hours. These incidents have sparked fears of a broader regional conflict.

Hamas Leader Assassinated in Tehran

Ismail Haniyeh, the political leader of Hamas, was killed in an airstrike in Tehran on Wednesday. Haniyeh was in Iran to attend the inauguration of the new Iranian president. Hamas quickly blamed Israel for the attack, although Israel has neither confirmed nor denied responsibility. Haniyeh’s death is a significant blow to Hamas, which has been engaged in indirect ceasefire negotiations with Israel, brokered by Qatar, Egypt, and the U.S.

Hezbollah Commander Killed in Beirut

Just hours before Haniyeh’s assassination, Fuad Shukr, a senior Hezbollah commander, was killed in an Israeli strike on the outskirts of Beirut. Hezbollah, a heavily armed militia group based in Lebanon, has long been involved in conflicts with Israel. Shukr’s death further complicates the already tense situation in the region.

Reactions and Implications

Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has vowed to seek revenge for Haniyeh’s death, raising the specter of further violence. The U.S. State Department has issued a travel advisory, warning Americans against traveling to Lebanon due to the rising tensions.

These assassinations come at a time when the region is already on edge following a series of violent incidents. The deaths of these key figures are likely to have significant repercussions, potentially undermining ongoing peace efforts and leading to further instability in the Middle East.


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