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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Escalating Tensions: Israeli Airstrike Hits Gaza Hospital, Killing Five

 

In a tragic incident, an Israeli airstrike targeted a tent within the Al-Aqsa Hospital compound in central Gaza, resulting in the deaths of at least five people. This strike, which occurred on Sunday, also left 18 others wounded and brought the total number of Palestinians killed that day to 19.

The Israeli military stated that the airstrike was aimed at a militant involved in terror activities, and secondary explosions indicated the presence of weaponry in the area. The hospital compound, located in the Deir Al-Balah area, is currently sheltering thousands of people displaced by ongoing conflicts.

This incident follows a series of failed diplomatic efforts in Cairo, where talks aimed at negotiating a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas ended without progress. The situation remains tense, with both sides bracing for further escalation.


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