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OAS Just Got Its Biggest Raise of 2026: What 1.4% Actually Pays

  Canadian Money Brief • Published October 2, 2026 Old Age Security is going up 1.4% for the October-to-December quarter, the biggest of the four quarterly adjustments in 2026. For a senior on the maximum pension, that works out to $10.53 more a month . Whether that feels like a raise or just a catch-up depends on a number most headlines skip: how much prices have risen over the past year. +$10.53 a month Maximum OAS for ages 65 to 74 goes from $751.97 to $762.50. That is about $126 more over a year, and it starts with the Oct. 28 deposit. What actually changes on October 28 The new rate applies to the Oct. 28 payment and the two after it (Nov. 26 and Dec. 22). Nothing needs to be filed. It applies to OAS, the Guaranteed Income Supplement (GIS) and the Allowances automatically. Maximum monthly amount Jul–Sep 2026 Oct–Dec 2026 Change OAS, ages 65 to 74 $751.97 $762.50 +$10.53 OAS, age 75 and over $827.17 $838.75 +$11.58 GIS, single senior (approx.) $1,123.17 about $1,138.89 about +$...

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Market Turmoil: Stocks and Bond Yields Plunge Amid U.S. Recession Fears

 

In a dramatic turn of events, U.S. stocks and bond yields plummeted sharply on Friday as recession fears intensified following a disappointing jobs report. The latest data revealed an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3%, sparking concerns about the health of the economy and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy.

The labor market, which had shown resilience despite the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes, now appears to be weakening. This shift has led investors to reassess their expectations for future interest rate cuts. Traders are now betting on significant rate reductions for the remainder of the year, nearly doubling their previous estimates.

Treasury yields, which move inversely to prices, saw a sharp decline. The two-year yields hit their lowest levels since March last year, while the benchmark 10-year yields reached their lowest since December. The yield curve, which has been inverted for over two years, is now closer to turning positive, a historical indicator of an impending recession.

The bond market’s reaction underscores the growing anxiety among investors about the potential for a recession. The Sahm rule, an early indicator of recession, was triggered as the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate rose by 0.53 percentage points. This rule has been a reliable predictor of economic downturns, adding to the mounting concerns.

As the market grapples with these developments, the Federal Reserve faces increasing pressure to adjust its policies to prevent a deeper economic contraction. The coming weeks will be crucial as investors and policymakers navigate this uncertain economic landscape.


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