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Shopify Just Pushed the TSX to a Record — Should You Be Buying, or Is It Too Late?

  Published August 6, 2026 If you glanced at the markets on Wednesday and saw the TSX hit another record high, there's a good chance one company did most of the heavy lifting: Shopify. The S&P/TSX Composite closed up 344.83 points, or 1%, at 36,146.42 on August 5 — its second straight record close. Shopify shares jumped 16.5%, their biggest one-day move in a year, after the Ottawa-based e-commerce company beat earnings expectations and issued a stronger-than-expected outlook for the rest of the year. Gold miners added to the rally too, as bullion prices climbed. What It Means for You: If you own a Canadian equity index fund or ETF in your RRSP or TFSA, you almost certainly own a slice of this move already — whether you meant to or not. What actually happened Shopify reported second-quarter revenue of $3.58 billion (U.S.), up 34% from a year earlier and well ahead of the roughly $3.45 billion analysts expected. Adjusted earnings came in at $0.42 a share versus the $0.40 expecte...
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Market Turmoil: Stocks and Bond Yields Plunge Amid U.S. Recession Fears

 

In a dramatic turn of events, U.S. stocks and bond yields plummeted sharply on Friday as recession fears intensified following a disappointing jobs report. The latest data revealed an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3%, sparking concerns about the health of the economy and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy.

The labor market, which had shown resilience despite the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes, now appears to be weakening. This shift has led investors to reassess their expectations for future interest rate cuts. Traders are now betting on significant rate reductions for the remainder of the year, nearly doubling their previous estimates.

Treasury yields, which move inversely to prices, saw a sharp decline. The two-year yields hit their lowest levels since March last year, while the benchmark 10-year yields reached their lowest since December. The yield curve, which has been inverted for over two years, is now closer to turning positive, a historical indicator of an impending recession.

The bond market’s reaction underscores the growing anxiety among investors about the potential for a recession. The Sahm rule, an early indicator of recession, was triggered as the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate rose by 0.53 percentage points. This rule has been a reliable predictor of economic downturns, adding to the mounting concerns.

As the market grapples with these developments, the Federal Reserve faces increasing pressure to adjust its policies to prevent a deeper economic contraction. The coming weeks will be crucial as investors and policymakers navigate this uncertain economic landscape.


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