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Carney's Retaliation List: What It Could Mean for Your Grocery Bill

  Published August 22, 2026 · Canadian Money Brief The 50% U.S. tariffs on roughly $28 billion of Canadian goods are no longer a threat — they took effect at 12:01 a.m. Saturday after last-minute talks between Ottawa and Washington collapsed Friday night. Prime Minister Mark Carney responded by suspending negotiations entirely and promising to hit back "dollar for dollar." Unlike the tariff deadline itself, this part isn't happening tonight: Carney says Canada's countermeasures won't take effect until September 8 , and the exact product list is still being finalized. That two-and-a-half week gap matters for your wallet. It's a window where the general shape of the retaliation is known, but the fine print — the specific products, the exact surtax rates, which exemptions get carved out — is still being written in Ottawa. Here's what's confirmed, what history tells us to expect, and how to think about the impact on your own spending. What's confirmed ...
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Market Turmoil: Stocks and Bond Yields Plunge Amid U.S. Recession Fears

 

In a dramatic turn of events, U.S. stocks and bond yields plummeted sharply on Friday as recession fears intensified following a disappointing jobs report. The latest data revealed an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3%, sparking concerns about the health of the economy and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy.

The labor market, which had shown resilience despite the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes, now appears to be weakening. This shift has led investors to reassess their expectations for future interest rate cuts. Traders are now betting on significant rate reductions for the remainder of the year, nearly doubling their previous estimates.

Treasury yields, which move inversely to prices, saw a sharp decline. The two-year yields hit their lowest levels since March last year, while the benchmark 10-year yields reached their lowest since December. The yield curve, which has been inverted for over two years, is now closer to turning positive, a historical indicator of an impending recession.

The bond market’s reaction underscores the growing anxiety among investors about the potential for a recession. The Sahm rule, an early indicator of recession, was triggered as the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate rose by 0.53 percentage points. This rule has been a reliable predictor of economic downturns, adding to the mounting concerns.

As the market grapples with these developments, the Federal Reserve faces increasing pressure to adjust its policies to prevent a deeper economic contraction. The coming weeks will be crucial as investors and policymakers navigate this uncertain economic landscape.


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