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Iran–U.S. Negotiations & Shipping Disruptions: What It Means for Your Wallet

  🔴 Breaking — This Morning President Trump posted on social media Saturday that a peace deal with Iran is "largely negotiated" and will be announced shortly. The Washington Post reports (May 25, 2026) that the U.S. and Iran are actively working toward a framework deal that would extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices have already reacted — Brent crude fell more than 5% to around $98 a barrel on the news. After nearly three months of conflict, spiralling energy prices, and stalled talks, there is cautious optimism today that a diplomatic breakthrough between the United States and Iran could be imminent. But what exactly is being negotiated — and what does it actually mean for Canadians and consumers at the gas pump, the grocery store, and beyond? Here is everything you need to know, updated with today's latest developments. $4.51 U.S. avg. gas price/gallon — up 51% since the war began -5.2% Brent crude drop today on deal optimism (to ~$98/barre...
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Market Turmoil: Stocks and Bond Yields Plunge Amid U.S. Recession Fears

 

In a dramatic turn of events, U.S. stocks and bond yields plummeted sharply on Friday as recession fears intensified following a disappointing jobs report. The latest data revealed an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3%, sparking concerns about the health of the economy and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy.

The labor market, which had shown resilience despite the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes, now appears to be weakening. This shift has led investors to reassess their expectations for future interest rate cuts. Traders are now betting on significant rate reductions for the remainder of the year, nearly doubling their previous estimates.

Treasury yields, which move inversely to prices, saw a sharp decline. The two-year yields hit their lowest levels since March last year, while the benchmark 10-year yields reached their lowest since December. The yield curve, which has been inverted for over two years, is now closer to turning positive, a historical indicator of an impending recession.

The bond market’s reaction underscores the growing anxiety among investors about the potential for a recession. The Sahm rule, an early indicator of recession, was triggered as the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate rose by 0.53 percentage points. This rule has been a reliable predictor of economic downturns, adding to the mounting concerns.

As the market grapples with these developments, the Federal Reserve faces increasing pressure to adjust its policies to prevent a deeper economic contraction. The coming weeks will be crucial as investors and policymakers navigate this uncertain economic landscape.


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