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The Fed Just Hiked Rates. Here's What It Means for Your Canadian Mortgage.

  The U.S. Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate 25 basis points yesterday — the first hike in three years. The Bank of Canada hasn't moved. That gap is now the biggest story in Canadian personal finance. MoneySavings.ca  |  September 17, 2026  |  Canadian Money Brief Yesterday afternoon, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 12-0 to raise the U.S. federal funds rate by a quarter point, pushing it to a target range of 3.75%–4.00%. It's the Fed's first rate hike since July 2023, and Chair Kevin Warsh made clear it almost certainly won't be the last. The Bank of Canada, by contrast, has held its overnight rate at 2.25% through seven straight meetings. It doesn't decide again until October 28. For Canadians with a mortgage, a renewal coming up, or a home equity line of credit, this matters more than it might look at first glance. 3.75–4.00% New U.S. Fed Rate 2.25% Bank of Canada Rate 1.625% Rate Gap (vs. 1.375% yesterday) ~71.5¢ Loonie (post-hike low) What th...

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“Me-cession”: When the Economy Grows, but Households Struggle

 

In a peculiar economic moment, Canada finds itself in what some economists are calling a “me-cession.” While the country’s overall economy continues to grow, individual households are facing challenges that make it feel like a recession for many Canadians.

Traditionally, economists define a recession as two consecutive quarters of negative growth in real gross domestic product (GDP), often accompanied by rising unemployment. However, Canada has managed to avoid a technical recession, even though its growth has been sluggish. So, what exactly is this “me-cession”?

Understanding the “Me-cession”

  • Not Just Numbers: The term “me-cession” reflects the disconnect between macroeconomic indicators and the everyday experiences of Canadians. While GDP numbers may look positive, households are feeling the pinch.
  • Stagnant Wages: Despite economic growth, wages have remained stagnant for many workers. As costs of living rise, families find it harder to make ends meet.
  • Financial Stress: Polling data shows that 46% of Canadians are losing sleep over their finances. People are cutting back on dining out, delaying large purchases, and even putting off moving to cope with financial stress.
  • Consumer Behavior: Businesses report consumers paring back spending, and households express feeling stressed. This behavioral shift contributes to the “me-cession” sentiment.

In summary, the “me-cession” highlights the gap between economic statistics and the lived experiences of Canadians. While the economy stays afloat, many households struggle to get ahead. It’s a reminder that economic well-being isn’t just about national GDP; it’s about the financial health of individuals and families.


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