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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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The Safest Seats on an Airplane: Where Should You Sit?

 

When booking a flight, we often consider factors like legroom, convenience, and views. But what about safety? Which seats offer the best chance of survival in an emergency? Let’s explore the data.

Air Travel Safety

First, it’s essential to recognize that air travel is remarkably safe. In 2019, there were approximately 70 million flights globally, resulting in only 287 fatalities. The odds of dying in a plane crash are about 1 in 205,552, compared to 1 in 102 for car accidents.

The Myth of the Back Seats

Contrary to popular belief, sitting at the back of the plane isn’t necessarily the safest option. The infamous 1977 Tenerife disaster, where a KLM Boeing 747 collided with a Pan Am 747, showed that passengers at the front survived better than those at the rear. Luck, impact distribution, and proximity to exits all play a role.

The Data

A 35-year study by the Federal Aviation Authority (FAA) sheds light on seat safety. Here’s what it found:

  • Middle Seats at the Back: These have the lowest fatality rate at 28%.
  • Aisle Seats in the Middle: These are the second-safest, with a 44% fatality rate.
  • Middle Seats on Either Side of the Aisle: These are the riskiest, with a 44% fatality rate.

Why the Middle Seats?

The middle seats at the back offer better survival odds because they benefit from the buffer provided by having people on either side. Additionally, sitting next to an exit row provides a faster escape route, assuming no fire blocks the way. Avoiding the front and wings (where fuel is stored) is also wise.

Remember, though, the chances of a plane crash are incredibly low. So, when you choose your seat, balance comfort, views, and safety. 


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