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Housing Market Outlook 2026: Prices Stabilizing, Demand Still Weak

  If you've been watching the Canadian housing market and waiting for a clear signal — up, down, or sideways — welcome to 2026, where the answer is stubbornly "sideways." Prices have stopped falling in most regions, but they're not exactly rallying either. Meanwhile, the buyers who were supposed to flood back after rate cuts? Still sitting on the fence. Here's what the data says and what it means for your wallet. 📊 Quick Stats — April 2026 National average home price: $695,412 (+2.2% year-over-year) National benchmark price (MLS HPI): $666,400 (-4.2% year-over-year) Months of inventory: 5.2 (balanced territory) GTA average price: $1,051,969 (-4.9% year-over-year) Bank of Canada policy rate: 2.25% (held steady) 📉 Why Are Prices "Stabilizing" But Not Recovering? Canada's housing market entered 2026 caught between two opposing forces. On one side, the Bank of Canada cut its policy rate from a peak of 5.0% all the way down to 2.25%, which should ...
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TSX Futures Plunge Amid Global Market Sell-Off

 

Futures for Canada’s main stock index, the S&P/TSX, fell sharply on Friday as investors braced for crucial U.S. payrolls data amidst a global market downturn. The September futures on the S&P/TSX index were down 1.0% early in the morning.

The decline follows weaker-than-expected factory data from the U.S. on Thursday, which heightened fears of an economic slowdown and negatively impacted investor sentiment worldwide. Additionally, disappointing earnings reports from major tech companies like Intel and Amazon.com contributed to a sell-off in tech shares across markets.

Despite the overall downturn, an uptick in commodity prices helped limit the declines. Oil prices saw a slight increase, and gold was poised for its biggest weekly jump in four months.

Investors are keenly awaiting the U.S. non-farm payrolls data, expected to provide further insights into the state of the American economy. The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index had ended 1.7% lower on Thursday, marking its biggest daily decline since February.

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