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Lock In or Stay Variable? What Every Canadian Homeowner Must Decide Before April 29

   Bank of Canada headquarters, Ottawa. Overnight rate held at 2.25% since October 2025. Next decision: April 29, 2026.  The Bank of Canada has held its rate at 2.25% for three straight decisions — but with inflation creeping back up, a Middle East conflict pushing oil prices, and over one million mortgage renewals on the horizon, the stakes of getting this wrong have never been higher. The Canadian Money Brief April 25, 2026 6 min read THE CANADIAN MONEY BRIEF BANK OF CANADA 2.25% 2.25% POLICY RATE HELD SINCE OCT. 2025 · THIRD CONSECUTIVE HOLD NEXT DECISION: APR. 29, 2026 If your mortgage is coming up for renewal in the next six to eighteen months, the question keeping you up at night is probably this: do I lock in a fixed rate now — or do I ride out a variable rate and hope the Bank of Canada does something helpful? It's the right question to be asking. And right now, the answer is more complicated — and more consequential — than it has been in years. The Bank of Canada...
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TSX Futures Plunge Amid Global Market Sell-Off

 

Futures for Canada’s main stock index, the S&P/TSX, fell sharply on Friday as investors braced for crucial U.S. payrolls data amidst a global market downturn. The September futures on the S&P/TSX index were down 1.0% early in the morning.

The decline follows weaker-than-expected factory data from the U.S. on Thursday, which heightened fears of an economic slowdown and negatively impacted investor sentiment worldwide. Additionally, disappointing earnings reports from major tech companies like Intel and Amazon.com contributed to a sell-off in tech shares across markets.

Despite the overall downturn, an uptick in commodity prices helped limit the declines. Oil prices saw a slight increase, and gold was poised for its biggest weekly jump in four months.

Investors are keenly awaiting the U.S. non-farm payrolls data, expected to provide further insights into the state of the American economy. The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index had ended 1.7% lower on Thursday, marking its biggest daily decline since February.

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