From the Bank of Canada's steady hand to a surge in housing starts and Ottawa's new financial crime-fighting agency — here are the five money stories every Canadian should have on their radar this morning. 1 Bank of Canada Rate Holds at 2.25% — Next Decision June 10 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on April 29 and has signalled it intends to stay put for now. Governing Council is keeping a close eye on Middle East conflict spillover into energy prices, ongoing U.S. tariff uncertainty, and whether inflation — currently hovering just above the 2% target — becomes entrenched. Bond markets are currently pricing in roughly an 18% chance of a 25-basis-point cut by the July 15 announcement, making a move at the June 10 meeting unlikely. 💡 What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders can exhale — no surprise hikes on the horizon. But don't expect big rate relief either; the "lower-for-longer" window appears to be closing. 2 Mortgage...
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US Futures Edge Higher Ahead of Key Economic Signals
US stock futures are pointing to a slightly higher open today as Wall Street gears up for a week full of crucial economic data signals. Here’s what investors need to know:
Futures Performance:
- Futures tied to the S&P 500 (ES=F) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (NQ=F) both rose around 0.3%.
- Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) were up about 0.2%.
Market Volatility:
- Last week was a rollercoaster ride for markets, leaving investors “on edge.”
- Despite ending practically where they started, major indexes experienced significant volatility throughout the week.
Upcoming Data:
- Wednesday: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) will provide fresh insights into inflation.
- Thursday:
- July’s retail sales data will offer a glimpse into the state of the US consumer.
- Walmart (WMT) earnings will also be closely watched.
Fed Rate Cut Expectations:
- Markets are interpreting good news as a positive sign, but volatility may hinge on the data signals.
- The slowing economy has shifted the debate from whether the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates in September to how much they should cut.
- Traders expect a 25-basis-point cut next month, while some anticipate a larger 50-basis-point cut.
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