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U.S. Midterms Tuesday: What the Vote Could Mean for the Loonie, Tariffs and Your Portfolio

  Canadian Money Brief | Feature U.S. Midterms Tuesday: What the Vote Could Mean for the Loonie, Tariffs and Your Portfolio By MoneySavings.ca | Published November 1, 2026 Americans vote Tuesday in elections that will fill all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. Canadians don't get a ballot, but we do get the consequences: a loonie that swung from an 18-month low to a six-week high in about two weeks, a tariff fight that has put 50% duties on roughly US$20 billion of our exports, and a lot of U.S. stock sitting inside our TFSAs and RRSPs. Here is how to think about all of it without trying to guess the winner. The short version: Nobody can reliably trade an election result. Forecasters lean toward Democrats winning the House, with the Senate closer. But history says the bigger market moves tend to come in the months after the vote, not on election night. For Canadians, the useful steps are practical: convert U.S. dollars in pieces, know how much U.S. stock you hold, and don't...
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US Futures Edge Higher Ahead of Key Economic Signals

US stock futures are pointing to a slightly higher open today as Wall Street gears up for a week full of crucial economic data signals. Here’s what investors need to know:

  • Futures Performance:

    • Futures tied to the S&P 500 (ES=F) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (NQ=F) both rose around 0.3%.
    • Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) were up about 0.2%.

  • Market Volatility:

    • Last week was a rollercoaster ride for markets, leaving investors “on edge.”
    • Despite ending practically where they started, major indexes experienced significant volatility throughout the week.

  • Upcoming Data:

    • Wednesday: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) will provide fresh insights into inflation.
    • Thursday:
      • July’s retail sales data will offer a glimpse into the state of the US consumer.
      • Walmart (WMT) earnings will also be closely watched.

  • Fed Rate Cut Expectations:

    • Markets are interpreting good news as a positive sign, but volatility may hinge on the data signals.
    • The slowing economy has shifted the debate from whether the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates in September to how much they should cut.
    • Traders expect a 25-basis-point cut next month, while some anticipate a larger 50-basis-point cut.


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