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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Wall Street’s Bears Warn of Risks to Stocks Amid Slowing Economy


Wall Street’s stock sell-off is intensifying as concerns grow over the health of the US economy Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 800 points, while Nasdaq 100 futures fell nearly 5%, and S&P 500 futures declined almost 3%. The CBOE Volatility Index soared to its highest level since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The global stock market is experiencing a rapid sell-off following a lackluster US jobs report, raising concerns about the economy and the Federal Reserve’s timing on interest rate cuts. Major companies like Apple, Nvidia, and Tesla saw significant declines, and Bitcoin dropped over 15%.

The sell-off has spread globally, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 experiencing its biggest-ever daily loss. Oil prices also fell, with WTI crude futures nearing $72 a barrel. This week, US unemployment claims will be closely watched for further economic insights.



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