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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...

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Wall Street’s Bears Warn of Risks to Stocks Amid Slowing Economy


Wall Street’s stock sell-off is intensifying as concerns grow over the health of the US economy Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 800 points, while Nasdaq 100 futures fell nearly 5%, and S&P 500 futures declined almost 3%. The CBOE Volatility Index soared to its highest level since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The global stock market is experiencing a rapid sell-off following a lackluster US jobs report, raising concerns about the economy and the Federal Reserve’s timing on interest rate cuts. Major companies like Apple, Nvidia, and Tesla saw significant declines, and Bitcoin dropped over 15%.

The sell-off has spread globally, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 experiencing its biggest-ever daily loss. Oil prices also fell, with WTI crude futures nearing $72 a barrel. This week, US unemployment claims will be closely watched for further economic insights.



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