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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Wildfire Reaches Athens’ Outskirts, Prompting Evacuations

 

A fast-moving wildfire, driven by gale-force winds, has spread to the edge of Athens, Greece, torching trees, houses, and cars. The blaze has forced the evacuation of several hospitals and numerous towns and villages.

Key Points:

  • Firefighting Efforts: Over 670 firefighters, supported by volunteers, 183 fire engines, and 32 waterbombing planes and helicopters, are battling the fire.
  • Evacuations: At least 250 people have been evacuated, with some spending the night in shelters.
  • Weather Conditions: Strong winds and high temperatures are exacerbating the situation, with flames reaching heights of 25 meters (82 feet).
  • Government Response: Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis has returned from a holiday to oversee the response, recalling the devastating 2018 fire in Mati.

The situation remains critical as authorities continue to combat the blaze and protect residents.

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