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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...

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Mass Displacement in Lebanon Amid Escalating Conflict

 

Lebanon is facing a humanitarian crisis as over one million people have been displaced due to escalating violence between Israel and Hezbollah. The conflict has intensified, with Israeli airstrikes targeting various locations, including the Lebanese capital, Beirut.

The Lebanese Health Ministry reports that more than 1,000 people have been killed and at least 6,000 wounded in the past two weeks. The situation has forced approximately one-fifth of the population to flee their homes, seeking safety in less affected areas or neighboring countries.

The displaced population is experiencing severe hardships. Many have found temporary refuge in places like the city of Sidon, where they sleep in parking lots, or in mountain villages like Aramoun, where locals have opened their homes to those in need. The fear and anxiety among the displaced are palpable, as they worry about their safety even in their new locations.

The conflict has also affected Syrian refugees in Lebanon, who now find themselves displaced once again. Raed Ali, a Syrian refugee, expressed his despair, stating, "We don’t know where to go. That is the problem, we don’t know what our fate is".

The international community is closely monitoring the situation, with humanitarian organizations working to provide aid and support to the displaced population. However, the ongoing violence and the potential for further escalation continue to pose significant challenges for relief efforts.

As the conflict shows no signs of abating, the displaced Lebanese population remains in a state of uncertainty and fear, hoping for a resolution that will allow them to return to their homes safely.


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