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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Mass Displacement in Lebanon Amid Escalating Conflict

 

Lebanon is facing a humanitarian crisis as over one million people have been displaced due to escalating violence between Israel and Hezbollah. The conflict has intensified, with Israeli airstrikes targeting various locations, including the Lebanese capital, Beirut.

The Lebanese Health Ministry reports that more than 1,000 people have been killed and at least 6,000 wounded in the past two weeks. The situation has forced approximately one-fifth of the population to flee their homes, seeking safety in less affected areas or neighboring countries.

The displaced population is experiencing severe hardships. Many have found temporary refuge in places like the city of Sidon, where they sleep in parking lots, or in mountain villages like Aramoun, where locals have opened their homes to those in need. The fear and anxiety among the displaced are palpable, as they worry about their safety even in their new locations.

The conflict has also affected Syrian refugees in Lebanon, who now find themselves displaced once again. Raed Ali, a Syrian refugee, expressed his despair, stating, "We don’t know where to go. That is the problem, we don’t know what our fate is".

The international community is closely monitoring the situation, with humanitarian organizations working to provide aid and support to the displaced population. However, the ongoing violence and the potential for further escalation continue to pose significant challenges for relief efforts.

As the conflict shows no signs of abating, the displaced Lebanese population remains in a state of uncertainty and fear, hoping for a resolution that will allow them to return to their homes safely.


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