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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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TD Bank Settles Spoofing Investigation with $20 Million Payment

 

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank) has agreed to pay over $20 million USD to settle an investigation by U.S. authorities into fraudulent trading practices known as “spoofing.” This settlement resolves allegations that a former TD Bank trader engaged in deceptive tactics to manipulate the U.S. Treasuries market.

The investigation revealed that the trader placed large orders with the intent to cancel them before execution, creating a false impression of market demand. This practice, known as spoofing, is illegal under U.S. law as it undermines market integrity and investor confidence.

TD Bank’s settlement includes both fines and restitution, reflecting the seriousness of the misconduct. The bank has stated its commitment to maintaining high ethical standards and has taken steps to enhance its compliance and oversight mechanisms to prevent future violations.

This case is part of a broader crackdown by U.S. regulators on spoofing and other forms of market manipulation, aiming to ensure fair and transparent financial markets.


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