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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Bank of Canada Slashes Rates by 50 Basis Points as Inflation Stabilizes

The Bank of Canada (BoC) has made a significant move by cutting its key interest rate by 50 basis points, bringing the overnight rate down to 3.75%. This decision, announced on October 23, 2024, marks the central bank’s fourth consecutive rate cut since June.

The BoC’s aggressive rate cuts come as inflation has returned to target levels, providing the central bank with the confidence to ease monetary policy further. Governor Tiff Macklem emphasized that the rate cut aims to support economic growth and ensure that inflation remains within the desired range.

Economists had widely anticipated this move, given the recent trends in economic data and the central bank’s commitment to maintaining price stability. The BoC’s decision reflects its proactive approach to managing the economy amid global uncertainties and domestic challenges.

With this latest rate cut, the Bank of Canada continues to navigate the delicate balance between fostering economic growth and keeping inflation in check. The central bank’s actions will be closely watched as they impact borrowing costs, consumer spending, and overall economic activity in the coming months.


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