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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Bank of Canada Slashes Rates by 50 Basis Points as Inflation Stabilizes

The Bank of Canada (BoC) has made a significant move by cutting its key interest rate by 50 basis points, bringing the overnight rate down to 3.75%. This decision, announced on October 23, 2024, marks the central bank’s fourth consecutive rate cut since June.

The BoC’s aggressive rate cuts come as inflation has returned to target levels, providing the central bank with the confidence to ease monetary policy further. Governor Tiff Macklem emphasized that the rate cut aims to support economic growth and ensure that inflation remains within the desired range.

Economists had widely anticipated this move, given the recent trends in economic data and the central bank’s commitment to maintaining price stability. The BoC’s decision reflects its proactive approach to managing the economy amid global uncertainties and domestic challenges.

With this latest rate cut, the Bank of Canada continues to navigate the delicate balance between fostering economic growth and keeping inflation in check. The central bank’s actions will be closely watched as they impact borrowing costs, consumer spending, and overall economic activity in the coming months.


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