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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Central Banks Shift Gears: Rate Cuts on the Rise

 

In a significant shift in monetary policy, seven out of the ten major developed-market central banks have begun easing their interest rates. This move marks a notable departure from the previous trend of rate hikes aimed at curbing inflation.

Current Landscape

The central banks of the United States, Eurozone, Japan, and others have started to lower their rates, responding to a mix of slowing economic growth and easing inflation pressures. This trend underscores a growing consensus among policymakers that the global economy needs support to sustain growth.

Data Dependency

Policymakers are emphasizing a data-dependent approach, meaning future rate cuts will be closely tied to economic indicators. This cautious stance reflects the uncertainty surrounding the global economic outlook and the need to balance growth with inflation control.

Market Reactions

Financial markets have reacted positively to these rate cuts, with stock markets rallying and bond yields falling. Investors are optimistic that lower borrowing costs will stimulate economic activity and support corporate earnings.

Looking Ahead

As central banks navigate this new phase, the pace and extent of future rate cuts will be critical. Economists and traders will be watching closely for signals from policymakers about their next moves, making economic data releases more influential than ever.


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