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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Chinese Stocks Plummet Amid Stimulus Concerns

 

Chinese stocks experienced a significant downturn today, with the Shanghai Composite Index plummeting by 6.6%. This sharp decline comes as investors express growing anxiety over the lack of substantial economic stimulus from Beijing.

The market’s reaction follows recent rallies driven by hopes for major economic interventions. However, the latest announcements from Chinese officials have failed to meet these expectations, leading to widespread sell-offs. The CSI300 Index, which tracks the top 300 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, also saw a substantial drop of 5.6%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was not spared, falling by 1.5% as investors moved to lock in profits after recent gains. The lack of new, impactful fiscal policies has left many market participants disappointed, contributing to the overall negative sentiment.

Analysts suggest that the market’s response is a clear signal of diminishing confidence in half-hearted promises and a demand for more decisive economic measures. As the situation unfolds, global investors will be closely watching for any further developments from Beijing.



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