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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Chinese Stocks Plummet Amid Stimulus Concerns

 

Chinese stocks experienced a significant downturn today, with the Shanghai Composite Index plummeting by 6.6%. This sharp decline comes as investors express growing anxiety over the lack of substantial economic stimulus from Beijing.

The market’s reaction follows recent rallies driven by hopes for major economic interventions. However, the latest announcements from Chinese officials have failed to meet these expectations, leading to widespread sell-offs. The CSI300 Index, which tracks the top 300 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, also saw a substantial drop of 5.6%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was not spared, falling by 1.5% as investors moved to lock in profits after recent gains. The lack of new, impactful fiscal policies has left many market participants disappointed, contributing to the overall negative sentiment.

Analysts suggest that the market’s response is a clear signal of diminishing confidence in half-hearted promises and a demand for more decisive economic measures. As the situation unfolds, global investors will be closely watching for any further developments from Beijing.



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