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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Chinese Stocks Plummet Amid Stimulus Concerns

 

Chinese stocks experienced a significant downturn today, with the Shanghai Composite Index plummeting by 6.6%. This sharp decline comes as investors express growing anxiety over the lack of substantial economic stimulus from Beijing.

The market’s reaction follows recent rallies driven by hopes for major economic interventions. However, the latest announcements from Chinese officials have failed to meet these expectations, leading to widespread sell-offs. The CSI300 Index, which tracks the top 300 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, also saw a substantial drop of 5.6%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was not spared, falling by 1.5% as investors moved to lock in profits after recent gains. The lack of new, impactful fiscal policies has left many market participants disappointed, contributing to the overall negative sentiment.

Analysts suggest that the market’s response is a clear signal of diminishing confidence in half-hearted promises and a demand for more decisive economic measures. As the situation unfolds, global investors will be closely watching for any further developments from Beijing.



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