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Fed Poised for First 2025 Rate Cut as Weak Jobs Data Outweigh Inflation Concerns

  The Federal Reserve seal at its Washington, D.C. headquarters, where policymakers are set to decide on the first interest rate cut of 2025. The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to lower its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points today, marking its first rate cut of 2025 and the first since December last year. The move would bring the federal funds target range down to 4.00%–4.25%, as policymakers respond to slowing job growth and rising unemployment, even as inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target. Recent labor market data showed just 22,000 jobs added in August, with earlier months revised downward, while the unemployment rate has climbed to around 4.3%. Inflation, measured by the Fed’s preferred PCE index, has edged higher in recent months, partly due to tariffs pushing up consumer prices. Markets have largely priced in the cut, with investors watching the Fed’s updated “dot plot” for clues on whether more reductions will follow in October and December. The decision ...
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Chinese Stocks Plummet Amid Stimulus Concerns

 

Chinese stocks experienced a significant downturn today, with the Shanghai Composite Index plummeting by 6.6%. This sharp decline comes as investors express growing anxiety over the lack of substantial economic stimulus from Beijing.

The market’s reaction follows recent rallies driven by hopes for major economic interventions. However, the latest announcements from Chinese officials have failed to meet these expectations, leading to widespread sell-offs. The CSI300 Index, which tracks the top 300 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, also saw a substantial drop of 5.6%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was not spared, falling by 1.5% as investors moved to lock in profits after recent gains. The lack of new, impactful fiscal policies has left many market participants disappointed, contributing to the overall negative sentiment.

Analysts suggest that the market’s response is a clear signal of diminishing confidence in half-hearted promises and a demand for more decisive economic measures. As the situation unfolds, global investors will be closely watching for any further developments from Beijing.



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