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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Chinese Stocks Plummet Amid Stimulus Concerns

 

Chinese stocks experienced a significant downturn today, with the Shanghai Composite Index plummeting by 6.6%. This sharp decline comes as investors express growing anxiety over the lack of substantial economic stimulus from Beijing.

The market’s reaction follows recent rallies driven by hopes for major economic interventions. However, the latest announcements from Chinese officials have failed to meet these expectations, leading to widespread sell-offs. The CSI300 Index, which tracks the top 300 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, also saw a substantial drop of 5.6%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was not spared, falling by 1.5% as investors moved to lock in profits after recent gains. The lack of new, impactful fiscal policies has left many market participants disappointed, contributing to the overall negative sentiment.

Analysts suggest that the market’s response is a clear signal of diminishing confidence in half-hearted promises and a demand for more decisive economic measures. As the situation unfolds, global investors will be closely watching for any further developments from Beijing.



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