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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...

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Escalation in the Middle East: Israel Intensifies Strikes in Gaza and Lebanon Following Hamas Leader’s Death

 

In the wake of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar’s death, Israel has significantly ramped up its military operations in both Gaza and Lebanon. Sinwar, who was believed to be the mastermind behind the October 7, 2023, attack on Israel, was killed during a routine ground patrol in Rafah.

The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have launched a series of airstrikes targeting Hamas positions in Gaza and Hezbollah strongholds in Lebanon. These strikes have resulted in substantial casualties and widespread destruction. In Gaza, an airstrike on Beit Lahiya killed at least 87 people, marking one of the highest death tolls from a single attack in recent months. Meanwhile, in Lebanon, Israeli airstrikes have targeted Hezbollah’s intelligence headquarters in Beirut, despite warnings from the United States to scale back the attacks.

The escalation has led to increased tensions in the region, with both sides suffering significant losses. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has vowed to continue the offensive until all hostages are returned and Hamas is fully dismantle1. The international community, including the United States, has expressed concern over the rising violence and the potential for a broader conflict.

As the situation continues to develop, the prospects for a ceasefire remain uncertain, with both Israel and Hamas showing no signs of backing down. The ongoing conflict underscores the deep-seated tensions and the complex geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East.


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