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Futures Slip as Geopolitical Tensions Overshadow Strong Bank Earnings

  US stock futures edged lower as investors balanced upbeat bank earnings against rising geopolitical unease tied to escalating tensions involving Iran. Contracts tied to the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all traded in the red, signaling a cautious start to the trading day. Major banks delivered solid quarterly results, with strong trading revenue and resilient consumer activity helping lift sentiment in the financial sector. Yet the optimism was tempered by concerns that potential US responses to developments in Iran could inject fresh volatility into global markets. Energy prices climbed as traders braced for possible disruptions. The pullback comes at a moment when investors are already navigating a crowded landscape of economic data, inflation readings, and policy uncertainty. With markets on edge, even strong corporate performance wasn’t enough to counter the broader risk-off mood.

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New Mortgage Policies Expected to Drive Canadian Home Prices Higher in 2025

 

According to a recent analysis by TD Economics, new federal mortgage policies are set to boost Canadian home prices in 2025. These policies, which include raising the cap on insured mortgages and extending amortization periods for first-time homebuyers, are expected to provide a secondary tailwind to the housing market.

The new measures, effective December 15, 2024, will increase the insured mortgage cap from $1 million to $1.5 million, allowing more Canadians to qualify for mortgages with lower down payments. Additionally, first-time homebuyers and purchasers of new builds will be able to take out loans with a 30-year amortization period.

TD Economics predicts that these changes will result in home sales and average prices being two to four percentage points higher by the end of 2025 than they would have been without the new policies. However, the report also warns that the initial boost in affordability may erode over time, potentially slowing sales volume and price growth by the end of 2026.

While these policies are not expected to trigger a housing boom on their own, they will complement lower interest rates and improving economic conditions, contributing to a more robust housing market. The changes come amid an ongoing affordability crisis driven by population growth, sluggish new construction, and inflation.

Overall, the new federal mortgage policies aim to make homeownership more accessible to Canadians, particularly younger generations, while also addressing the broader housing market challenges.


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