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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Ontario Unveils Ambitious Economic Update

 

Ontario’s Finance Minister, Peter Bethlenfalvy, is set to present the province’s fall economic statement today, which Premier Doug Ford describes as an ambitious plan aimed at building highways, hospitals, and homes. The update, often referred to as a mini-budget, will include several key measures designed to address affordability and infrastructure needs.

One of the headline announcements is a $200 rebate cheque for nearly every adult in the province, with an additional $200 for each child. This move, which has been met with both praise and criticism, is part of a broader strategy to provide immediate financial relief to Ontarians. Critics, however, have labeled it a “gimmick” and a “bribe” ahead of a potential early election in 2025.

The economic update will also extend the 5.7-cent gas tax cut through to June 2025, a measure that has been renewed bi-annually since July 2022. Additionally, the government plans to invest $225 million to break the Beer Store’s alcohol sales rights, allowing more corner stores and grocery outlets to sell alcohol.

Premier Ford emphasized that the economic update maintains the government’s path to balance, with the spring budget projecting deficits until 2026-27. The update is expected to provide clarity on the province’s debt, the cost of various government programs, and the overall economic outlook.

As the province navigates through these economic changes, the government’s focus remains on enhancing infrastructure and providing financial support to its residents.


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