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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Ontario Unveils Ambitious Economic Update

 

Ontario’s Finance Minister, Peter Bethlenfalvy, is set to present the province’s fall economic statement today, which Premier Doug Ford describes as an ambitious plan aimed at building highways, hospitals, and homes. The update, often referred to as a mini-budget, will include several key measures designed to address affordability and infrastructure needs.

One of the headline announcements is a $200 rebate cheque for nearly every adult in the province, with an additional $200 for each child. This move, which has been met with both praise and criticism, is part of a broader strategy to provide immediate financial relief to Ontarians. Critics, however, have labeled it a “gimmick” and a “bribe” ahead of a potential early election in 2025.

The economic update will also extend the 5.7-cent gas tax cut through to June 2025, a measure that has been renewed bi-annually since July 2022. Additionally, the government plans to invest $225 million to break the Beer Store’s alcohol sales rights, allowing more corner stores and grocery outlets to sell alcohol.

Premier Ford emphasized that the economic update maintains the government’s path to balance, with the spring budget projecting deficits until 2026-27. The update is expected to provide clarity on the province’s debt, the cost of various government programs, and the overall economic outlook.

As the province navigates through these economic changes, the government’s focus remains on enhancing infrastructure and providing financial support to its residents.


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