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Markets Brief: Iran Deal Hopes Drive Global Rally — TSX Eyes a Strong Open | May 29, 2026

It's been a week dominated by one headline: the U.S.-Iran war and the fragile hopes of a peace deal. Heading into the long weekend, markets are ending Friday on an optimistic note, with record-setting sessions in Asia and a strong tone across North America. Here's your full wrap. Canada — TSX After a rough patch mid-week, the TSX bounced back Thursday — its first gain since Monday's record close — finishing up around 0.7% to the 34,770s range, driven largely by a blockbuster round of Big Six bank earnings. All six of Canada's largest banks beat analysts' estimates for Q2 (quarter ended April 30), raising dividends and signalling cautious optimism despite the volatile global backdrop. RBC posted a standout quarter, with its Wealth Management division up 28% year-over-year. TD Bank earned $4.25 billion in adjusted net income ($2.38/share), topping expectations, and raised its dividend. CIBC's profit surged 43%, with adjusted EPS of $2.76 beating consensus by a wid...
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Ontario Unveils Ambitious Economic Update

 

Ontario’s Finance Minister, Peter Bethlenfalvy, is set to present the province’s fall economic statement today, which Premier Doug Ford describes as an ambitious plan aimed at building highways, hospitals, and homes. The update, often referred to as a mini-budget, will include several key measures designed to address affordability and infrastructure needs.

One of the headline announcements is a $200 rebate cheque for nearly every adult in the province, with an additional $200 for each child. This move, which has been met with both praise and criticism, is part of a broader strategy to provide immediate financial relief to Ontarians. Critics, however, have labeled it a “gimmick” and a “bribe” ahead of a potential early election in 2025.

The economic update will also extend the 5.7-cent gas tax cut through to June 2025, a measure that has been renewed bi-annually since July 2022. Additionally, the government plans to invest $225 million to break the Beer Store’s alcohol sales rights, allowing more corner stores and grocery outlets to sell alcohol.

Premier Ford emphasized that the economic update maintains the government’s path to balance, with the spring budget projecting deficits until 2026-27. The update is expected to provide clarity on the province’s debt, the cost of various government programs, and the overall economic outlook.

As the province navigates through these economic changes, the government’s focus remains on enhancing infrastructure and providing financial support to its residents.


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