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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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Beef Tenderloin with Red Wine Sauce

 


A classic and elegant dish, Beef Tenderloin with Red Wine Sauce is perfect for special occasions or holiday gatherings. 

Ingredients

For the Beef:

  • 2 lbs beef tenderloin, trimmed and tied
  • 2 tbsp olive oil
  • 2 tsp kosher salt
  • 1 tsp freshly ground black pepper

For the Red Wine Sauce:

  • 2 cups dry red wine
  • 2 cups beef stock
  • 2 shallots, finely chopped
  • 2 garlic cloves, minced
  • 2 sprigs fresh thyme
  • 1 tbsp butter
  • 1 tbsp flour

Instructions

  1. Prepare the Beef:

    • Preheat the oven to 400°F (200°C).
    • Rub the beef tenderloin with olive oil, salt, and pepper.
    • Heat a skillet over medium-high heat and sear the tenderloin on all sides until browned. Transfer to a baking dish.
  2. Roast the Beef:

    • Roast in the oven until the internal temperature reaches 125°F (52°C) for medium-rare, about 25-30 minutes. Let it rest for 10 minutes before slicing.
  3. Make the Sauce:

    • In the same skillet, sauté shallots and garlic in a bit of oil until softened. Add red wine, scraping up browned bits from the pan.
    • Stir in beef stock and thyme. Simmer until reduced by half.
    • Mix butter and flour to form a paste, then whisk into the sauce. Simmer until thickened.
  4. Serve:

    • Slice the beef tenderloin and serve with red wine sauce drizzled on top.

This dish pairs beautifully with mashed potatoes or roasted vegetables.


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