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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Canada Post and Workers at Odds Over Wages, Weekend Delivery

 

Canada Post and the Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) are currently locked in a dispute over wages and weekend delivery. The conflict has led to a nationwide strike involving over 55,000 postal workers, just days before the busy holiday season.

The main points of contention include Canada Post's proposal to hire more part-time workers for weekend parcel delivery, which the union opposes. The union argues that this would undermine job security and lead to lower wages. Additionally, the union is seeking fair wages and improved working conditions, citing the rising cost of living as a significant factor.

Canada Post, on the other hand, has proposed wage increases above inflation over the next four years and aims to introduce a flexible seven-day delivery model to remain competitive. However, the union is pushing for a compounded wage increase of 24% over the same period.

As negotiations continue, the strike has already begun to impact mail and parcel deliveries, causing concern among businesses and consumers alike. The outcome of these talks will be crucial in determining the future of postal services in Canada.

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