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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Canada Post and Workers at Odds Over Wages, Weekend Delivery

 

Canada Post and the Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) are currently locked in a dispute over wages and weekend delivery. The conflict has led to a nationwide strike involving over 55,000 postal workers, just days before the busy holiday season.

The main points of contention include Canada Post's proposal to hire more part-time workers for weekend parcel delivery, which the union opposes. The union argues that this would undermine job security and lead to lower wages. Additionally, the union is seeking fair wages and improved working conditions, citing the rising cost of living as a significant factor.

Canada Post, on the other hand, has proposed wage increases above inflation over the next four years and aims to introduce a flexible seven-day delivery model to remain competitive. However, the union is pushing for a compounded wage increase of 24% over the same period.

As negotiations continue, the strike has already begun to impact mail and parcel deliveries, causing concern among businesses and consumers alike. The outcome of these talks will be crucial in determining the future of postal services in Canada.

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