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BoC Decision Day: What a Hold at 2.25% Means for Your Mortgage

  Published September 2, 2026 Tomorrow's date has been sitting at the bottom of every Canadian Money Brief for weeks, and it's finally here. The Bank of Canada announces its overnight rate decision on Wednesday, September 2 at 9:45 a.m. ET, with Governor Tiff Macklem holding a press conference at 10:30. Every economist polled by Reuters — all 35 of them — expects the same outcome: a hold at 2.25%, the eighth straight meeting without a move. That's the headline. The more useful question for your wallet is what a "boring" hold actually does — and doesn't do — to your mortgage, and why two of the Big Six banks think the boring streak is about to end. Why a hold is the almost-certain call The Bank has a genuinely awkward setup heading into this meeting. On one side, the economy just posted its best quarter in years: GDP grew at a 3.3% annualized pace in the second quarter, well ahead of the Bank's own 2.5% forecast, and July's jobs report added a blowout ...

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Canada's Economy Shows Modest Growth in Q3 2024



Canada's economy grew at an annualized rate of 1% in the third quarter of 2024, according to Statistics Canada. The growth was driven by increased consumer spending, particularly on new vehicles, and higher government expenditures.

Despite the positive growth, the figure fell short of the Bank of Canada's forecast of 1.5% annualized growth for the quarter. The slower business investment and lower exports also contributed to the modest growth rate. Additionally, real GDP per capita declined by 0.4%, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of per-capita GDP decline.

Economists are closely watching these trends as the country navigates through economic challenges and uncertainties. The government remains optimistic about the economy's resilience and is expected to introduce measures to stimulate further growth.




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