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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...

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Canada's Economy Shows Modest Growth in Q3 2024



Canada's economy grew at an annualized rate of 1% in the third quarter of 2024, according to Statistics Canada. The growth was driven by increased consumer spending, particularly on new vehicles, and higher government expenditures.

Despite the positive growth, the figure fell short of the Bank of Canada's forecast of 1.5% annualized growth for the quarter. The slower business investment and lower exports also contributed to the modest growth rate. Additionally, real GDP per capita declined by 0.4%, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of per-capita GDP decline.

Economists are closely watching these trends as the country navigates through economic challenges and uncertainties. The government remains optimistic about the economy's resilience and is expected to introduce measures to stimulate further growth.




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