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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...

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Canada's Economy Shows Modest Growth in Q3 2024



Canada's economy grew at an annualized rate of 1% in the third quarter of 2024, according to Statistics Canada. The growth was driven by increased consumer spending, particularly on new vehicles, and higher government expenditures.

Despite the positive growth, the figure fell short of the Bank of Canada's forecast of 1.5% annualized growth for the quarter. The slower business investment and lower exports also contributed to the modest growth rate. Additionally, real GDP per capita declined by 0.4%, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of per-capita GDP decline.

Economists are closely watching these trends as the country navigates through economic challenges and uncertainties. The government remains optimistic about the economy's resilience and is expected to introduce measures to stimulate further growth.




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