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5 Things to Know Today: Markets Near Records, Rates Hold, Oil Eases

  Here's what Canadian money watchers need to know as we head into the week: 1. TSX Hits Record Territory Amid Diplomatic Optimism The S&P/TSX Composite Index is hovering near 35,000 , approaching record levels as markets digest positive signals from U.S.-Iran negotiations. Senior officials say a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could be signed at next week's G7 summit, easing geopolitical tensions and supporting oil-sensitive sectors. Financial stocks led gains—RBC, TD, and BMO all rose about 0.5–1%—while mining names like Agnico Eagle and WPM climbed despite softer gold prices. What it means for your wallet: A more stable geopolitical backdrop and lower oil prices could ease inflation concerns, improving conditions for your savings and investments. 2. Bank of Canada Holds Rates at 2.25% for Fifth Time On June 10, the BoC kept its benchmark overnight rate steady at 2.25% —marking five consecutive holds since October 2025. Governor Tiff Macklem cited a "two-directi...

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Fed Faces New Economic Landscape Post-Trump Victory

 

The U.S. Federal Reserve is poised to reduce its benchmark policy rate by a quarter of a percentage point at the conclusion of its policy meeting on Thursday. This decision, while significant, is overshadowed by the broader economic uncertainties following Donald Trump’s re-election.

Trump’s victory introduces potential shifts in economic policies, including changes to tariffs, tax cuts, and immigration, which could significantly impact the Fed’s approach to managing economic growth and inflation. The central bank, which has been focused on combating inflation, may now need to navigate a more complex economic environment with higher federal deficits and potential inflationary pressures.

Market reactions have already been notable, with bond yields rising as investors anticipate a less aggressive rate-cutting cycle from the Fed. The central bank’s challenge will be to balance these new fiscal policies while maintaining its dual mandate of low inflation and low unemployment.

As the Fed moves forward, the relationship between Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell will be closely watched, especially given their turbulent history during Trump’s first term. Powell, reappointed by President Joe Biden, has indicated his intention to complete his term, which runs through May 2026.

In summary, the Fed’s upcoming rate cut is just the beginning of what promises to be a complex and challenging period for U.S. monetary policy.


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