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BoC Decision Day: What a Hold at 2.25% Means for Your Mortgage

  Published September 2, 2026 Tomorrow's date has been sitting at the bottom of every Canadian Money Brief for weeks, and it's finally here. The Bank of Canada announces its overnight rate decision on Wednesday, September 2 at 9:45 a.m. ET, with Governor Tiff Macklem holding a press conference at 10:30. Every economist polled by Reuters — all 35 of them — expects the same outcome: a hold at 2.25%, the eighth straight meeting without a move. That's the headline. The more useful question for your wallet is what a "boring" hold actually does — and doesn't do — to your mortgage, and why two of the Big Six banks think the boring streak is about to end. Why a hold is the almost-certain call The Bank has a genuinely awkward setup heading into this meeting. On one side, the economy just posted its best quarter in years: GDP grew at a 3.3% annualized pace in the second quarter, well ahead of the Bank's own 2.5% forecast, and July's jobs report added a blowout ...
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Fed Faces New Economic Landscape Post-Trump Victory

 

The U.S. Federal Reserve is poised to reduce its benchmark policy rate by a quarter of a percentage point at the conclusion of its policy meeting on Thursday. This decision, while significant, is overshadowed by the broader economic uncertainties following Donald Trump’s re-election.

Trump’s victory introduces potential shifts in economic policies, including changes to tariffs, tax cuts, and immigration, which could significantly impact the Fed’s approach to managing economic growth and inflation. The central bank, which has been focused on combating inflation, may now need to navigate a more complex economic environment with higher federal deficits and potential inflationary pressures.

Market reactions have already been notable, with bond yields rising as investors anticipate a less aggressive rate-cutting cycle from the Fed. The central bank’s challenge will be to balance these new fiscal policies while maintaining its dual mandate of low inflation and low unemployment.

As the Fed moves forward, the relationship between Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell will be closely watched, especially given their turbulent history during Trump’s first term. Powell, reappointed by President Joe Biden, has indicated his intention to complete his term, which runs through May 2026.

In summary, the Fed’s upcoming rate cut is just the beginning of what promises to be a complex and challenging period for U.S. monetary policy.


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