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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Israeli Airstrikes in Beirut Kill 15 as Diplomatic Efforts for Cease-Fire Intensify

 

At least 15 people were killed and dozens injured following Israeli airstrikes in central Beirut, marking one of the most severe escalations in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hezbollah. The strikes targeted what Israeli authorities described as Hezbollah command centers and weapons depots, though the attacks also caused extensive damage to residential areas.

The bombardment comes amid heightened tensions along the Israel-Lebanon border, with Hezbollah increasing its rocket attacks into northern Israel in solidarity with Hamas. Lebanese officials condemned the strikes as a violation of sovereignty and accused Israel of targeting civilian infrastructure.

As the violence escalates, international diplomats, including representatives from the United Nations and the United States, are intensifying efforts to broker a cease-fire. “The situation is spiraling out of control, and we urge all parties to exercise maximum restraint,” said UN Secretary-General António Guterres in a statement.

Humanitarian organizations have raised alarm over the deteriorating conditions for civilians in Beirut, where thousands are now displaced. Calls for a humanitarian corridor to deliver aid and evacuate vulnerable populations are growing louder as the conflict risks spilling over into a broader regional war.


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