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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Montreal Dockworkers Reject Final Offer, Lockout Declared

 

In a significant development, the Montreal Longshoremen’s Union has overwhelmingly rejected the final offer from the Maritime Employers Association (MEA), leading to an immediate lockout. The union, representing approximately 1,200 dockworkers, voted 99.7% against the proposed contract, citing the employer’s refusal to negotiate in good faith.

The MEA expressed disappointment over the outcome, stating that the lockout was unavoidable due to the union’s stance. Essential services and activities unrelated to dockworkers will continue at the port, but the lockout is expected to have substantial economic repercussions, given the Port of Montreal’s role as Canada’s second-largest port, handling nearly $400 million in goods daily.

Union advisor Michel Murray criticized the MEA’s approach, emphasizing that the offer did not address the union’s demands and that the conflict could have been avoided with proper negotiations. The federal labour minister has been urged to intervene to mitigate the economic impact of the lockout.

This lockout adds to the ongoing labor disputes at Canada’s major ports, with workers at the Port of Vancouver also locked out due to a separate contract dispute.


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