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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Netanyahu Condemns ICC Ruling, Gains Broad Political Support

 

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has strongly denounced the International Criminal Court’s (ICC) decision to issue arrest warrants for him and former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. Netanyahu labeled the ruling as “anti-Semitic” and “absurd,” asserting that Israel will not succumb to international pressure in defending its citizens.

The ICC’s warrants accuse Netanyahu and Gallant of war crimes related to the recent conflict in Gaza, including allegations of starvation and persecution of Palestinians. The court’s decision has sparked a rare moment of unity among Israeli politicians, with both allies and opponents rallying to Netanyahu’s defense.

Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett criticized the ICC, calling the warrants a “mark of shame” on the court itself. Opposition leader Yair Lapid described the ruling as a “reward for terrorism,” while Benny Gantz, who briefly joined Netanyahu’s war cabinet, condemned the court’s "moral blindness".

Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir suggested a bold response by annexing the occupied West Bank, further intensifying the political discourse.

The ICC’s decision has undoubtedly deepened the diplomatic rift, with Israel and its key ally, the United States, not recognizing the court’s jurisdiction. As the situation unfolds, the international community watches closely, anticipating the potential ramifications on the ongoing conflict and future peace negotiations.


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