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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Quebec Braces for Potential Influx of Migrants Amid U.S. Deportation Concerns

 

As the political landscape in the United States shifts with the return of Donald Trump to the presidency, Quebec is preparing for a possible surge in migrants. Trump’s promise to deport millions of undocumented immigrants has raised alarms in Canada, particularly in Quebec, where officials are bracing for an increase in border crossings.

Concerns Over Border Crossings

Quebec Premier François Legault has expressed concerns about the province’s capacity to handle a potential influx of migrants. He emphasized the need for robust border security and regular updates from the federal government on the situation. The closure of Roxham Road, a popular crossing point for asylum seekers, has already made the journey more perilous, pushing migrants to seek alternative, often more dangerous, routes.

Community Response

Community groups in Quebec, such as the Welcome Collective, are preparing for an increase in new arrivals. These groups are concerned about the safety of migrants, especially those who might attempt to cross in remote areas during the harsh winter months. The RCMP has also been on high alert, ready to respond to various scenarios, from a few individuals to a massive influx.

Political Reactions

The political discourse in Quebec has been heated, with leaders from different parties voicing their concerns. Parti Québécois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon warned of a significant migration wave, while Frantz André from the Action Committee for People Without Status criticized the use of Trump’s election to stoke fears about asylum seekers. Meanwhile, Québec solidaire acknowledged the potential impact of U.S. deportations on Quebec but called for a balanced approach.

Looking Ahead

As the situation unfolds, Quebec remains vigilant, balancing the need for security with compassion for those seeking refuge. The province’s response will be crucial in managing the potential challenges and ensuring the safety and well-being of all residents.


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