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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Russia Open to Ukraine Peace Talks if Trump Initiates Them, Envoy Says

In a recent statement, Russia has expressed its openness to engage in peace talks to end the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, provided that the initiative comes from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. Gennady Gatilov, Russia's ambassador to the United Nations in Geneva, emphasized that any negotiations would need to be grounded in the current realities of Russian advances.

Trump has been vocal about his criticism of the extensive Western aid provided to Kyiv and has promised to swiftly end the conflict, although he has not detailed his approach. His victory in the November 5 presidential election has raised concerns in Kyiv and other European capitals about the future level of U.S. support for Ukraine.

Gatilov acknowledged that while Russia welcomes the prospect of Trump initiating the political process, he remains realistic about the challenges ahead. He noted that any peace talks must reflect the situation on the ground, where Russian forces have made significant advances.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has consistently maintained that peace can only be achieved once all Russian forces are expelled and all territories, including Crimea, are returned to Ukraine. He has warned that any concessions to Russia would be unacceptable for Ukraine and detrimental to European security.

As the world watches closely, the potential for new dialogue between Russia and the United States under Trump's leadership presents a complex and uncertain path forward for the conflict in Ukraine.

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