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5 Things to Know Today: Inflation Data, a Tariff Countdown, and a Big Energy Deal

  August 17, 2026 Inflation data lands this morning, the clock on the U.S. tariff deadline is down to two days, and a long-running provincial energy dispute is about to be settled. Here's what's moving your money today. 1. Today's Inflation Report Could Set the Tone for September Statistics Canada releases July's Consumer Price Index this morning. Economists are expecting the annual rate to tick up to roughly 2.9%, from 2.8% in June, mainly because gasoline prices swung higher again in July after the Middle East conflict pushed oil prices back up. Core inflation measures, which the Bank of Canada watches most closely, aren't expected to move much. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print would make it less likely the Bank of Canada cuts rates at its September 2 meeting, which matters if you're renewing a variable-rate mortgage or carrying a line of credit. A softer number keeps a cut on the table. 2. The Tariff Deadline Is Two Days Away, and Talks Are...

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Russia Open to Ukraine Peace Talks if Trump Initiates Them, Envoy Says

In a recent statement, Russia has expressed its openness to engage in peace talks to end the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, provided that the initiative comes from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. Gennady Gatilov, Russia's ambassador to the United Nations in Geneva, emphasized that any negotiations would need to be grounded in the current realities of Russian advances.

Trump has been vocal about his criticism of the extensive Western aid provided to Kyiv and has promised to swiftly end the conflict, although he has not detailed his approach. His victory in the November 5 presidential election has raised concerns in Kyiv and other European capitals about the future level of U.S. support for Ukraine.

Gatilov acknowledged that while Russia welcomes the prospect of Trump initiating the political process, he remains realistic about the challenges ahead. He noted that any peace talks must reflect the situation on the ground, where Russian forces have made significant advances.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has consistently maintained that peace can only be achieved once all Russian forces are expelled and all territories, including Crimea, are returned to Ukraine. He has warned that any concessions to Russia would be unacceptable for Ukraine and detrimental to European security.

As the world watches closely, the potential for new dialogue between Russia and the United States under Trump's leadership presents a complex and uncertain path forward for the conflict in Ukraine.

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