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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Special Counsel Pauses Federal Prosecution of Trump Over 2020 Election Interference

 

In a significant development, Special Counsel Jack Smith has requested a pause in the federal prosecution of President-elect Donald Trump for his alleged attempts to overturn the 2020 election results. This move comes in light of Trump's recent victory in the 2024 presidential election.

Smith's request, filed on Friday, asks the court to vacate all remaining deadlines in the pretrial schedule to allow the government time to assess the unprecedented circumstances and determine the appropriate course of action. The Justice Department has a longstanding policy against prosecuting sitting presidents, which has influenced this decision.

U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan granted the request, setting a new deadline of December 2, 2024, for the government to file a status report outlining its proposed course for the case. This pause reflects the complexities and legal considerations surrounding the prosecution of a sitting president.

Trump, who has denied all wrongdoing, was initially indicted in August 2023 for his alleged role in a criminal scheme to overturn the 2020 election results. The case has faced numerous delays, and the recent election victory has added another layer of complexity to the proceedings.

As the legal and political implications of this decision unfold, the nation watches closely to see how the Justice Department will navigate this unprecedented situation.

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