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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Trudeau Faces Pressure to Expand $250 Rebate Beyond Working Canadians

 

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau remains firm on his plan to provide a $250 rebate to "hardworking Canadians," despite mounting pressure from opposition parties to extend the benefit to seniors and individuals unable to work. The rebate is part of a broader affordability package announced by the Liberals, which also includes a temporary cut to the federal sales tax on popular holiday items.

During a recent announcement on Prince Edward Island, Trudeau was questioned about the possibility of expanding the rebate to non-working seniors and people with disabilities. He reiterated that the measure is intended to support working Canadians who need extra assistance, while also mentioning that the government is exploring other ways to help those who do not qualify for the rebate.

The opposition, including the NDP and Bloc Québécois, has been vocal in their demands for a more inclusive approach. They argue that the rebate should also benefit seniors and people with disabilities, who are equally in need of financial support. However, Trudeau has not introduced legislation to enact the rebate, and it remains uncertain whether he will secure the necessary support from the opposition to pass it.

The GST holiday bill, which temporarily eliminates the federal sales tax on a range of items, passed in the House of Commons with the help of the NDP and is awaiting approval from the Senate. This measure is expected to provide some relief to Canadians during the holiday season, but the debate over the rebate's scope continues to be a contentious issue.

As the government navigates these challenges, Trudeau's stance on the rebate underscores his commitment to recognizing the efforts of working Canadians, while also highlighting the ongoing discussions about how best to support all citizens in need.

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