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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...

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Trudeau Faces Pressure to Expand $250 Rebate Beyond Working Canadians

 

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau remains firm on his plan to provide a $250 rebate to "hardworking Canadians," despite mounting pressure from opposition parties to extend the benefit to seniors and individuals unable to work. The rebate is part of a broader affordability package announced by the Liberals, which also includes a temporary cut to the federal sales tax on popular holiday items.

During a recent announcement on Prince Edward Island, Trudeau was questioned about the possibility of expanding the rebate to non-working seniors and people with disabilities. He reiterated that the measure is intended to support working Canadians who need extra assistance, while also mentioning that the government is exploring other ways to help those who do not qualify for the rebate.

The opposition, including the NDP and Bloc Québécois, has been vocal in their demands for a more inclusive approach. They argue that the rebate should also benefit seniors and people with disabilities, who are equally in need of financial support. However, Trudeau has not introduced legislation to enact the rebate, and it remains uncertain whether he will secure the necessary support from the opposition to pass it.

The GST holiday bill, which temporarily eliminates the federal sales tax on a range of items, passed in the House of Commons with the help of the NDP and is awaiting approval from the Senate. This measure is expected to provide some relief to Canadians during the holiday season, but the debate over the rebate's scope continues to be a contentious issue.

As the government navigates these challenges, Trudeau's stance on the rebate underscores his commitment to recognizing the efforts of working Canadians, while also highlighting the ongoing discussions about how best to support all citizens in need.

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