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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Trump Promises 25% Tariff on Products from Mexico and Canada

 

 

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump announced on Monday that he will sign an executive order imposing a 25% tariff on all products entering the United States from Mexico and Canada. This move is part of his broader strategy to address issues related to illegal immigration and drug trafficking, particularly fentanyl.

Trump made the announcement on Truth Social, stating that the tariffs will remain in place until Mexico and Canada take significant measures to curb the flow of drugs and illegal migrants across their borders. He emphasized that this action is necessary to protect American jobs and national security.

The proposed tariffs have sparked concerns among economists and trade experts, who warn that such measures could lead to higher prices for American consumers and potential retaliatory actions from Mexico and Canada. The tariffs are expected to impact a wide range of products, including automobiles, electronics, and agricultural goods.

Canadian and Mexican officials have yet to respond to Trump's announcement, but the move is likely to strain trade relations between the three countries. The tariffs could also complicate the implementation of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which was designed to facilitate trade and economic cooperation in North America.

As the January 20th inauguration date approaches, businesses and consumers are bracing for the potential economic fallout from these tariffs.


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