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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trump Promises 25% Tariff on Products from Mexico and Canada

 

 

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump announced on Monday that he will sign an executive order imposing a 25% tariff on all products entering the United States from Mexico and Canada. This move is part of his broader strategy to address issues related to illegal immigration and drug trafficking, particularly fentanyl.

Trump made the announcement on Truth Social, stating that the tariffs will remain in place until Mexico and Canada take significant measures to curb the flow of drugs and illegal migrants across their borders. He emphasized that this action is necessary to protect American jobs and national security.

The proposed tariffs have sparked concerns among economists and trade experts, who warn that such measures could lead to higher prices for American consumers and potential retaliatory actions from Mexico and Canada. The tariffs are expected to impact a wide range of products, including automobiles, electronics, and agricultural goods.

Canadian and Mexican officials have yet to respond to Trump's announcement, but the move is likely to strain trade relations between the three countries. The tariffs could also complicate the implementation of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which was designed to facilitate trade and economic cooperation in North America.

As the January 20th inauguration date approaches, businesses and consumers are bracing for the potential economic fallout from these tariffs.


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