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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Trump Vows New Tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, Threatening Global Trade

 

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump announced on Monday that he will impose new tariffs on products from Canada, Mexico, and China as part of his strategy to address illegal immigration and drug trafficking, particularly fentanyl. Trump stated that he will sign an executive order on his first day in office to implement a 25% tariff on all products entering the United States from Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10% tariff on goods from China.

Trump's announcement has sparked concerns among economists and trade experts, who warn that such measures could lead to higher prices for American consumers and potential retaliatory actions from the affected countries. The tariffs are expected to impact a wide range of products, including automobiles, electronics, and agricultural goods.

Canadian and Mexican officials have yet to respond to Trump's announcement, but the move is likely to strain trade relations between the three countries. The tariffs could also complicate the implementation of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which was designed to facilitate trade and economic cooperation in North America.

As the January 20th inauguration date approaches, businesses and consumers are bracing for the potential economic fallout from these tariffs.


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