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Shopify Just Pushed the TSX to a Record — Should You Be Buying, or Is It Too Late?

  Published August 6, 2026 If you glanced at the markets on Wednesday and saw the TSX hit another record high, there's a good chance one company did most of the heavy lifting: Shopify. The S&P/TSX Composite closed up 344.83 points, or 1%, at 36,146.42 on August 5 — its second straight record close. Shopify shares jumped 16.5%, their biggest one-day move in a year, after the Ottawa-based e-commerce company beat earnings expectations and issued a stronger-than-expected outlook for the rest of the year. Gold miners added to the rally too, as bullion prices climbed. What It Means for You: If you own a Canadian equity index fund or ETF in your RRSP or TFSA, you almost certainly own a slice of this move already — whether you meant to or not. What actually happened Shopify reported second-quarter revenue of $3.58 billion (U.S.), up 34% from a year earlier and well ahead of the roughly $3.45 billion analysts expected. Adjusted earnings came in at $0.42 a share versus the $0.40 expecte...
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Trump’s Re-election Sends Canadian Dollar to Four-Year Low

 

The re-election of Donald Trump has significantly impacted the currency markets, with the Canadian dollar (loonie) falling to a four-year low against the U.S. dollar. This phenomenon, often referred to as the “Trump trade,” has seen the loonie drop around 2% since the election and approximately 4% since September, when financial markets began anticipating Trump’s return to the White House.

The primary driver behind this decline is the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, bolstered by expectations of Trump’s economic policies, which include tariffs, corporate tax cuts, and deregulation. These policies are anticipated to boost U.S. economic growth, increase the government deficit, and fuel inflation, leading to higher U.S. interest rates and a surging equity market.

For Canada, the weaker loonie has mixed implications. On one hand, it makes Canadian exports more competitive, potentially benefiting exporters. On the other hand, it raises the cost of imported goods, impacting Canadian consumers who will face higher prices for products coming from the U.S. The Bank of Canada has also been cutting interest rates faster than the U.S. Federal Reserve to stave off a recession, further contributing to the loonie’s decline.

Overall, the “Trump trade” underscores the interconnectedness of global economies and the significant influence of U.S. economic policies on international markets.


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