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Wall Street Futures Ease as Strong GDP Growth Tempers Fed Cut Hopes

US stock futures dipped Tuesday morning as stronger-than-expected GDP growth raised doubts about near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts, sending the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures slightly lower. Market Overview Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures all slipped about 0.2% in premarket trading. The decline comes after three consecutive winning sessions for US equities, highlighting investor caution despite recent momentum. Gold and silver continued their rally, with both metals on pace for their best year in over four decades. Economic Data Impact The third-quarter GDP report showed the US economy grew at a 4.3% annualized rate, well above the 3.3% forecast. Strong consumer spending drove the surprise, but analysts warn that the government shutdown likely slowed growth in the fourth quarter. The data suggests economic resilience, but also reduces the likelihood of immediate Fed rate cuts, which had been priced in by markets. Investor Sentiment Traders are recalib...
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Trump’s Re-election Sends Canadian Dollar to Four-Year Low

 

The re-election of Donald Trump has significantly impacted the currency markets, with the Canadian dollar (loonie) falling to a four-year low against the U.S. dollar. This phenomenon, often referred to as the “Trump trade,” has seen the loonie drop around 2% since the election and approximately 4% since September, when financial markets began anticipating Trump’s return to the White House.

The primary driver behind this decline is the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, bolstered by expectations of Trump’s economic policies, which include tariffs, corporate tax cuts, and deregulation. These policies are anticipated to boost U.S. economic growth, increase the government deficit, and fuel inflation, leading to higher U.S. interest rates and a surging equity market.

For Canada, the weaker loonie has mixed implications. On one hand, it makes Canadian exports more competitive, potentially benefiting exporters. On the other hand, it raises the cost of imported goods, impacting Canadian consumers who will face higher prices for products coming from the U.S. The Bank of Canada has also been cutting interest rates faster than the U.S. Federal Reserve to stave off a recession, further contributing to the loonie’s decline.

Overall, the “Trump trade” underscores the interconnectedness of global economies and the significant influence of U.S. economic policies on international markets.


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