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Bank of Canada Rate Decision: What to Expect on June 10

  On Wednesday, June 10, 2026 , the Bank of Canada will announce its next interest rate decision — and every Canadian with a mortgage, a savings account, or a variable-rate line of credit has good reason to pay attention. While a hold at the current 2.25% overnight rate is almost universally expected, the real story this month isn't the number itself. It's the language surrounding it. Canada's economy has slipped into what many are calling a technical recession, inflation is being pushed higher by a global energy shock, and economists are divided on where rates go from here. Here's everything you need to know before Wednesday's announcement. BoC Overnight Rate 2.25% Held since early 2026 Bank Prime Rate 4.45% Most major lenders April CPI Inflation 2.8% Up from 2.4% in March Hike Probability (Jun 10) ~4% Per bond markets Q1 2026 GDP Growth −0.1% Annualized; near-recession Where Things Stand: A Tricky Balancing Act The Bank of Canada has held its overnight rate at 2....

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U.S. Consumer Prices Rise in October, Slowing Progress Toward Low Inflation

 

U.S. consumer prices increased as anticipated in October, reflecting a continued but modest rise in inflation. According to the latest data from the Labor Department, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% for the fourth consecutive month. Over the past year, the CPI has advanced by 2.6%, up from 2.4% in September.

The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also saw a 0.3% increase in October, maintaining the same pace for the third month in a row. Annually, the core CPI has risen by 3.3%.

Economists had predicted these figures, indicating that while inflation is not accelerating, the progress toward achieving the Federal Reserve’s target of 2% inflation has slowed. This trend suggests that the Federal Reserve may be less inclined to implement further interest rate cuts in the near future.

The slight uptick in inflation is partly attributed to rising shelter costs, which accounted for more than half of the overall increase in prices. Despite the modest gains, the inflation rate remains significantly lower than the peak of 9.1% seen in June 2022.

As the Federal Reserve continues to monitor these developments, the economic outlook remains cautious, with potential implications for future monetary policy decisions.


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