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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Wall Street Cheers Trump’s Treasury Pick, Stocks Rise

                                    

U.S. stocks saw a significant rise on Thursday as Wall Street reacted positively to President-elect Donald Trump's announcement of his Treasury Secretary pick, hedge fund manager Scott Bessent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed by 461 points, or 1.1%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also posted gains.

Investors welcomed Bessent's nomination, viewing it as a sign of stability and a potential boost to economic policies. The market's optimism was further fueled by strong earnings reports from companies like Nvidia, which exceeded profit and revenue expectations.

As the market continues to react to Trump's cabinet selections, all eyes will be on upcoming retail earnings reports and other economic indicators to gauge the future direction of the stock market.



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