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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Wall Street Cheers Trump’s Treasury Pick, Stocks Rise

                                    

U.S. stocks saw a significant rise on Thursday as Wall Street reacted positively to President-elect Donald Trump's announcement of his Treasury Secretary pick, hedge fund manager Scott Bessent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed by 461 points, or 1.1%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also posted gains.

Investors welcomed Bessent's nomination, viewing it as a sign of stability and a potential boost to economic policies. The market's optimism was further fueled by strong earnings reports from companies like Nvidia, which exceeded profit and revenue expectations.

As the market continues to react to Trump's cabinet selections, all eyes will be on upcoming retail earnings reports and other economic indicators to gauge the future direction of the stock market.



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