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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Winter Set to Redeem Itself After Record-Breaking Warmth

 

After experiencing the warmest winter on record last year, Canada is bracing for a colder season this year, according to The Weather Network's chief meteorologist, Chris Scott. Scott predicts that this winter will attempt to "salvage its reputation" with generally colder temperatures and more impactful weather compared to last year.

The forecast indicates that Western Canada will see near- or above-normal snow totals, while Ontario and Quebec can expect significant winter weather in December. However, Scott warns that the overall winter will still not be a "blockbuster" for any region.

"It's coming east in a hurry, and it will pack a real punch," Scott said, noting that there will be a "mad scramble for winter tires and salt" in Ontario and Quebec.

The Weather Network's seasonal forecast suggests that while January and February may be milder in Quebec and Ontario, Manitoba and Saskatchewan will experience a more typical winter. The forecast also brings good news for drought-weary prairie farmers, who rely on snowmelt to boost soil moisture in the spring.




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