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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Winter Set to Redeem Itself After Record-Breaking Warmth

 

After experiencing the warmest winter on record last year, Canada is bracing for a colder season this year, according to The Weather Network's chief meteorologist, Chris Scott. Scott predicts that this winter will attempt to "salvage its reputation" with generally colder temperatures and more impactful weather compared to last year.

The forecast indicates that Western Canada will see near- or above-normal snow totals, while Ontario and Quebec can expect significant winter weather in December. However, Scott warns that the overall winter will still not be a "blockbuster" for any region.

"It's coming east in a hurry, and it will pack a real punch," Scott said, noting that there will be a "mad scramble for winter tires and salt" in Ontario and Quebec.

The Weather Network's seasonal forecast suggests that while January and February may be milder in Quebec and Ontario, Manitoba and Saskatchewan will experience a more typical winter. The forecast also brings good news for drought-weary prairie farmers, who rely on snowmelt to boost soil moisture in the spring.




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