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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Canada Post Strike Enters Fourth Week Amid Rising Tensions


As the Canada Post strike approaches its four-week mark, tensions between the Crown corporation and the Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) continue to escalate. The ongoing strike, which began on November 15, 2024, has left millions of deliveries at a standstill, impacting businesses and consumers alike.

The union and management have been trading accusations of bad-faith bargaining. The CUPW criticized Canada Post's latest offers, stating that they do not address key issues such as wage increases, job security, and working conditions. In response, Canada Post claimed that the union's proposals have widened the gap between the two parties, introducing new demands that complicate negotiations.

With federal mediation on hold and no end in sight, the business community has called for government intervention. However, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has so far resisted stepping in, urging both sides to reach an agreement.

As the strike drags on, small businesses, especially retailers relying on parcel deliveries during the holiday season, are feeling the brunt of the disruption. The CUPW has also filed an unfair labour practice complaint over layoffs of striking workers, adding another layer of contention.

The future of negotiations remains uncertain, with both parties standing firm on their positions. The impact on the economy and public services continues to grow, leaving many to wonder when a resolution will be reached.




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