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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Canada Post Strike Enters Fourth Week Amid Rising Tensions


As the Canada Post strike approaches its four-week mark, tensions between the Crown corporation and the Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) continue to escalate. The ongoing strike, which began on November 15, 2024, has left millions of deliveries at a standstill, impacting businesses and consumers alike.

The union and management have been trading accusations of bad-faith bargaining. The CUPW criticized Canada Post's latest offers, stating that they do not address key issues such as wage increases, job security, and working conditions. In response, Canada Post claimed that the union's proposals have widened the gap between the two parties, introducing new demands that complicate negotiations.

With federal mediation on hold and no end in sight, the business community has called for government intervention. However, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has so far resisted stepping in, urging both sides to reach an agreement.

As the strike drags on, small businesses, especially retailers relying on parcel deliveries during the holiday season, are feeling the brunt of the disruption. The CUPW has also filed an unfair labour practice complaint over layoffs of striking workers, adding another layer of contention.

The future of negotiations remains uncertain, with both parties standing firm on their positions. The impact on the economy and public services continues to grow, leaving many to wonder when a resolution will be reached.




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