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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Canada Post Strike Enters Fourth Week Amid Rising Tensions


As the Canada Post strike approaches its four-week mark, tensions between the Crown corporation and the Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) continue to escalate. The ongoing strike, which began on November 15, 2024, has left millions of deliveries at a standstill, impacting businesses and consumers alike.

The union and management have been trading accusations of bad-faith bargaining. The CUPW criticized Canada Post's latest offers, stating that they do not address key issues such as wage increases, job security, and working conditions. In response, Canada Post claimed that the union's proposals have widened the gap between the two parties, introducing new demands that complicate negotiations.

With federal mediation on hold and no end in sight, the business community has called for government intervention. However, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has so far resisted stepping in, urging both sides to reach an agreement.

As the strike drags on, small businesses, especially retailers relying on parcel deliveries during the holiday season, are feeling the brunt of the disruption. The CUPW has also filed an unfair labour practice complaint over layoffs of striking workers, adding another layer of contention.

The future of negotiations remains uncertain, with both parties standing firm on their positions. The impact on the economy and public services continues to grow, leaving many to wonder when a resolution will be reached.




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