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Bank of Canada Rate Decision: What to Expect on June 10

  On Wednesday, June 10, 2026 , the Bank of Canada will announce its next interest rate decision — and every Canadian with a mortgage, a savings account, or a variable-rate line of credit has good reason to pay attention. While a hold at the current 2.25% overnight rate is almost universally expected, the real story this month isn't the number itself. It's the language surrounding it. Canada's economy has slipped into what many are calling a technical recession, inflation is being pushed higher by a global energy shock, and economists are divided on where rates go from here. Here's everything you need to know before Wednesday's announcement. BoC Overnight Rate 2.25% Held since early 2026 Bank Prime Rate 4.45% Most major lenders April CPI Inflation 2.8% Up from 2.4% in March Hike Probability (Jun 10) ~4% Per bond markets Q1 2026 GDP Growth −0.1% Annualized; near-recession Where Things Stand: A Tricky Balancing Act The Bank of Canada has held its overnight rate at 2....

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Canada's Inflation Rate Cools to 1.9% in November


Canada's annual inflation rate slowed to 1.9% in November, down from 2% in October. This slight decrease was driven by a broad-based slowdown in prices, particularly in travel tours and mortgage interest costs. The consumer price index remained unchanged on a monthly basis.

Economists had anticipated the inflation rate to hold steady at 2%, but the data showed a more significant deceleration. The Bank of Canada, which has been working to control inflation, will consider this data in its upcoming rate decision on January 29.

The cooling inflation rate is a positive sign for the Canadian economy, which has been facing challenges this year. The central bank has already cut interest rates by 175 basis points since June to stimulate growth.



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