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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Canada's Inflation Rate Cools to 1.9% in November


Canada's annual inflation rate slowed to 1.9% in November, down from 2% in October. This slight decrease was driven by a broad-based slowdown in prices, particularly in travel tours and mortgage interest costs. The consumer price index remained unchanged on a monthly basis.

Economists had anticipated the inflation rate to hold steady at 2%, but the data showed a more significant deceleration. The Bank of Canada, which has been working to control inflation, will consider this data in its upcoming rate decision on January 29.

The cooling inflation rate is a positive sign for the Canadian economy, which has been facing challenges this year. The central bank has already cut interest rates by 175 basis points since June to stimulate growth.



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