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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Canada's Inflation Rate Cools to 1.9% in November


Canada's annual inflation rate slowed to 1.9% in November, down from 2% in October. This slight decrease was driven by a broad-based slowdown in prices, particularly in travel tours and mortgage interest costs. The consumer price index remained unchanged on a monthly basis.

Economists had anticipated the inflation rate to hold steady at 2%, but the data showed a more significant deceleration. The Bank of Canada, which has been working to control inflation, will consider this data in its upcoming rate decision on January 29.

The cooling inflation rate is a positive sign for the Canadian economy, which has been facing challenges this year. The central bank has already cut interest rates by 175 basis points since June to stimulate growth.



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