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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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CRA 2025: New TFSA Limits, Adjusted Tax Brackets, and More!

 

The Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) has announced several key updates for 2025 that will impact taxpayers across the country. Here's a brief overview of the most notable changes:


New TFSA Limits

Starting January 1, 2025, Canadians will be able to contribute an additional $7,000 to their Tax-Free Savings Account (TFSA), bringing the total contribution room to $102,000 for those who have maximized their contributions since the program's inception in 2009. This increase is indexed to inflation and aims to provide more flexibility for savings and investment.


Adjusted Tax Brackets

In response to inflation, the CRA has adjusted the federal tax brackets for 2025. The new brackets are as follows:

  • 0 to $57,375: 15%
  • $57,375 to $114,750: 20.5%
  • $114,750 to $177,882: 26%
  • $177,882 to $253,414: 29%
  • Above $253,414: 33%

These adjustments are designed to ensure that taxpayers are not pushed into higher tax brackets solely due to inflation.


Other Updates

  • The basic personal amount (BPA) has been increased to $16,129, allowing individuals to earn this amount without paying federal income tax.
  • The Canada Pension Plan (CPP) benefits will see a 2.7% inflation adjustment, providing a slight increase in payments.

These changes reflect the CRA's ongoing efforts to adapt to economic conditions and support Canadians in managing their finances effectively.




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