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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Escalation in Gaza: Israeli Airstrikes Result in Civilian Casualties


In a tragic escalation of violence, at least 18 Palestinians were killed in Israeli airstrikes in Gaza on Saturday, according to Palestinian medics. The strikes targeted various locations, including a former shelter housing displaced people and an aid warehouse, which the Israeli military claimed were being used by militants. 

The airstrikes have intensified the already dire humanitarian situation in Gaza, with casualties being transported to hospitals by foot, on rickshaws, and in private cars. The conflict, which began on October 7, 2023, has resulted in significant loss of life and widespread displacement. Efforts by international mediators to broker a ceasefire continue, but the situation remains volatile. 

The international community has called for restraint and the protection of civilians, emphasizing the need for a peaceful resolution to the conflict. 


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